周可盈：5.24黄金低位震荡将持续、原油分析操作策略

goldInternational news:

凌晨时段市场迎来美联储会议纪要，纪要公布的重点内容如下，通胀预期：温和的通胀过冲或有益，通胀稍稍高于2%符合对称性，通胀预估仍稍稍维持低位；加息态度：多数委员表示下一次加息可能较快到来，在仍需要再加息多少次上存在广泛观点；前瞻指引：一些委员认为前瞻指引很快会适度修正，或将调整指引中的“宽松的货币政策立场”；贸易政策：贸易政策给经济活动和通胀带来特别广泛的风险，不确定性或损及企业信心和支出。总的来说，美联储将于6月份再次加息，当前通胀偏低；消息对黄金影响相当有限，因此在消息后黄金横盘震荡运行。昨天黄金走势和预期基本一致，低位大震荡走势；日内最高1298First line, lowest1288，波幅10美金，日线以上下影小阳线收盘。

Gold Market Review:

回顾昨天，黄金亚洲盘是先回落的走势，最低1289一线止跌迎来反弹，欧洲盘一度冲高，美盘前后最高1298一线，随后价格回落刺破日内低点后再次翻升，之后便是震荡横盘走势；直到美联储会议纪要也没有能够打破震荡格局，最终日线以上下影小阳线收盘！基本面对黄金影响不大，昨天黄金和美元指数几乎是同起同落，这主要是受益于A股下跌以及大宗商品普遍下跌带来避险资金进入黄金和美元市场所致。

Technical analysis of gold:

周线上，黄金跌破布林带下轨，在1295-1296附近形成阻力，均线指标死叉，MACD死叉，空头占据优势，不过STO指标接近超卖区域，且当前价格有所反弹，操作应尽量以反弹空为主。日线图，行情已经多次走出下探回升，下方支撑相对强势。黄金运行于BOLL带下轨附近，BOLL带开口下行。MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average dead cross operation,MA5日均线有拐头的趋势。MACD快慢线死叉运行，绿色动能缩量，KDJ三线呈死叉有拐头向上交合趋势，行情整体偏空头，短期内多头比较强势。

4小时图，行情运行于BOLL带中轨于上轨之间，BOLL带缩口平行运行，行情陷入震荡。MA5On the moving averageMA10MA20日均线形成金叉。MACD快慢线金叉运行，红色能量柱持续放量，KDJ三线指标拐头向下有形成死叉之势，黄金下方支撑到位，但是多头缺乏更多支撑。黄金短期内可能会陷入区间走势。黄金目前呈现出的区间震荡走势相对明显，上方不破1300依然看好空头无疑，而下方支撑越来越强势，但是上涨动能不是很足。今日操作上方关注1300Resistance, pay attention below1288-1285Frontline support.

Intraday gold trading strategy:

1Rebound1296Short nearby, stop loss4USD, target1285；

2Step back1286Long nearby, stop loss4USD, target1295；

crude oilInternational news:

Wednesday night22:30United States Energy Information Administration（EIA）Published US to5month18Day and WeekEIAIncrease in crude oil inventory577.8Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease156.7Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease140.4万桶；当周汽油库存意外增加188.3Ten thousand barrels, expected to decrease138.8Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease379万桶。同时，上周美国国内原油产量增加0.210000 barrels to1072.510000 barrels/日，美国国内原油产量连续13周录得增长。强劲的原油进口、战略原油储备的释放以及原油出口量的减少，是导致本周美国原油库存“显著增长”的主要原因。数据公布后，12Billion US dollars and15Two waves of selling orders worth 100 million US dollars hit the market one after another, and the US and Brazilian oil companies plummeted in a straight line.

Crude oil/Market Review:

近期上涨较为缓慢，周二也是只小幅刷新高点，亚欧盘行情持续震荡，只有三美金幅度，美盘反弹72.9一线遇阻回落，最低下探71.9一线。其实对于近期原油操作而言，还是比较难把握，虽然是上行趋势，但日内走势较为复杂，没有半点规律可寻，你不知道它什么时候上涨，或者能回调到什么位置再做多，上涨下跌总是在悄无声息的进行。随着周三EIA公布，原油出现一波0.9美金的跌幅，但不管如何，原油此次下跌并没有实质性的破位，所以做多还需寻找相对支撑进行。

Technical analysis of crude oil:

技术面来看，日图布林带开口上行，MA5Mean Square andMA10The moving average shows a good upward trend with a golden cross,KLine intersection between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Above the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方呈粘合态向右走平，指标表现中性。KDJ三线交死叉向下发散运行，行情多头有所放缓表现一定的回落风险；4小时图上，布林带三轨朝上缩口运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10Moving average cross dead cross downward,KThe line intersects between the upper and middle tracks in BolinMA5Below the moving average,MACD快慢线位于零轴速度交死叉下行绿色动能逐步放量，KDJ三线交死叉强势向下发散运行，油价短线还有进一步下行势能。

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综合来看，受隔夜尾盘市场消息报出由于担心委内瑞拉产量下滑以及潜在的伊朗原油供应短缺，欧佩克或在六月决定增加原油产量，油价盘中录得大跌，油价一度跌破72关口下方触及71.85一线。目前短线行情表现一定的空头形态，但是原油的大势还是多头占有，若想一改油价强势多头还是需要更大的消息来刺激。那么日内短线操作上周可盈建议可先以反弹高空为主，低多为辅。上方关注72.8One line of resistance, pay attention below71.5Frontline support.

日内原油操作策略：

1Rebound72.3Near empty, stop loss0.4USD, target71.4Nearby;

2Falling back71.2Nearby, stop loss0.4USD, target72.2Nearby;

策略仅供参考，具体的进场点位更多操作建议周可盈会根据实盘变化给出。

Wen/周可盈—（微信19925850028  QQ  2964295783）

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