Gold4The hourly cycle is currently in a downward trend, starting fromK线结构上来看当下处于低位调整阶段,趋势上已经打破震荡下行的逻辑,并且此次震荡调整在日线上已经经过长时间的调整,不断的收窄说明1280一线支撑作用是非常明确的,所以不排除本次震荡是为了改变快速下跌的结构。在均线上短期均线经过反复交叉后目前靠近中期均线,不排除出现中短期均线粘合的走势,那么后期是不排除均线出现理论上的反弹行情,并且逐步由震荡下行转变为反弹。指标上KDJ目前到达前期100附近已经存在震荡区间下行的可能,MACD上快线慢线低位极点反弹并且金叉成功上行,动能红柱昨日晚间再次增强出现一轮反弹理论上MACD上存在继续反弹的可能。总体上黄金目前趋势处于下行阶段,但是经过长时间的震荡下行已经消耗足够多的空头动能,所以当下多头动能柱再次释放不排除将原本下跌的黄金拉回低位调整行情,而均线上的走势KOn Line Station25MA之后已经出现中短期线粘合,在均线的理论上已经进入反弹行情的多头趋势,所以蒋雯雯认为当下黄金虽然存在继续下行的可能,但是操作上已经需要在短线上进行低多的操作。
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