甘果论金：中美贸易停战助涨美元一举突破94关口，黄金原油行情分析

Message surface:

　　  随着市场对全球贸易紧张局势有望缓解的憧憬，加上美国零售销售数据相对稳健，和美债收益率的飙升助推美元指数刷新年内新高。此外，中美贸易摩擦就此熄火，缓解了市场对于贸易紧张局势的担忧，gold再失一大支撑。本周一美元指数进一步升高并突破94关口，黄金承压跌破1285Support.

　　  上周受美元暴涨、美债收益率飙升令黄金上周跌破1300大关，金价突破长达4Months of1300-1366盘整区间，空头放量并刷新2017年底以来低点至1285一线，周线收取一个实体大阴线；周线上，黄金运行于布林中轨和Ma5Below the moving average,Ma5andMa10形成高位死叉放量，macdDead fork operation,rsi向下发散，说明周线上黄金走势空头占优，并有进一步下跌的趋势下方重点关注Ma60average1280一线攻防，跌破下方看1270/1262Area.

　　  Technical aspect:

　　  日线上，黄金运行布林下降通道中，Ma均线空头排列格局保持良好，价格于Ma5均线承压下行，上周初经历大跌走势，后半周金价在1285-1295区域修复整理后再度回落，macdDead fork operation,rsi走平后向下勾头，日线上黄金依然是空头慢跌走势，与此同时周末中美协商停打贸易战消息再度利空黄金，整体来看在美元强势走高，黄金失去避险支撑短期来看难有反弹，并有进一步下跌的可能，日内重点关注1280/1278区域支撑带攻防，若是跌破我们继续顺势跟进空单；操作上建议保持逢高做空为主。

　　  4小时和小时线，黄金依然维持区间盘整走势，今天黄金低开低走，再度承压下行，那么说明段周期黄金走势呈现震荡偏弱的下跌行情中，操作上建议逢高做空为主。重点关注上方阻力：1290、1295, lower support1285/1280、1270、1260Support.

　　  周一晚间黄金操作建议：

　　  1282Multiple orders, stop loss3USD, target1287

　　  1288上方空单，止损4USD, target1280.1276

　　  crude oil：4小时图上，布林带三轨缓和向右走平，MA5Under the moving averageMA10The moving average crosses the golden cross upwards,K线运行于布林中轨上方，MACD快慢线位于零轴下方交金叉上行；红色动能初现，KDJ三线交金叉向上发散运行，油价短线还有一定的上行势能。日内关注72短压测试，上方有可能会进一步测试前高72.3，甚至上探73Pressure, following below5、10Daily support71.5-71.2支撑带，若按日线级别波段调整预期，下方主要支撑位于20日线和趋势支撑线70一线。操作上建议以逢低做多为主。

　　  Suggestions for crude oil operation:

　　  Callback71.3Long, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target72

　　 

　　  In this market game, the emphasis is on a process of learning and participating, as well as the results of long-term stable profits. Once a loss occurs, it is important to promptly identify the reasons behind it and ensure that the lost funds generate their value. I believe that with every transaction you make, it is easy to enter the market with reason and evidence, and strictly adhere to the rules of the market. Under the correct guidance, achieving long-term steady profits is a goal that can be easily achieved. Accurate trend analysis, professional team technical analysis, responsible guidance teachers, real-time tracking of the entire market situation, can profits still be far from you? Opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared, but also for those who can choose to show you their true strength. Real profits make you happy! If you encounter difficulties on your investment journey and cannot find a direction, you may want to talk to me about long-term losses,Success does not rely on luck, choice is greater than effort!

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