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Market Review
在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈回落整理后再次上涨的走势,美元指数最高上涨到91.24,最低下跌到90.75, closing at91.17。欧美最高上涨到1.2239,最低下跌到1.2168, closing at1.2175。
随着美国基准国债收益率进一步攀升,美元指数在91关口上方维持涨势。美元周三触及四个月高点,美国基准国债收益率升至逾3%,令部分货币空头感到不安,并促使投资者考虑美元是否已脱离长期疲弱状态。由于对政府债务供应不断增加的担忧,以及油价上涨带来的通胀压力,美国10年期国债收益率升至4年多来的最高水平。
周五将出炉美国第一季国内生产总值(GDP)数据,可能会决定后市美元是否能延续升势。年初以来美国经济增长预估被大幅下调,亚特兰大联储将增长预估从1Of4.2%Down to2.0%, but higher than4month16日预估的1.9%,表明有一些乐观情绪。据CME“美联储观察”显示,美联储今年6Monthly interest rate increase25Bps to1.75%-2%The probability of the interval is93.3%,9月至该区间概率为20.6%。
从技术上来看,美指周三回调企稳在90.70之上,再次突破91.00整数关口的阻力,但受阻在91.25之下,收盘在91.17,意味着美元短线有可能上涨后出现回调的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in91.35—90.85Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2220---1.2150的区间下限买入,有效破点30止损,目标在区间的上限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.3980---1.3910Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.9860---0.9790Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in109.55---108.90Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7600---0.7540Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2895---1.2815Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1330.00---1316.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在16.70---16.40Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 14:00 Germany5monthGfkConsumer confidence index
② 18:00 britain4monthCBIRetail sales difference
③ 19:45 The European Central Bank Announces Interest Rate Resolutions
④ 20:30 From the United States to4month21Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week3月耐用品订单月率、欧洲央行行长德拉基召开发布会
⑤ 22:30 From the United States to4month20Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory