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4.19贸易战加息面临挑战,多头强势不减

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recentgold上行动能有所减弱,探底回升之势延续,强劲的企业财报帮助推高美股,市场风险偏好情绪因此回升;加之美朝关系释放积极信号、美国未对俄罗斯实施进一步制裁,黄金避险买盘有所减少。

虽然地缘政治局势缓和,但国际贸易摩擦却有重新升级的苗头。周二英美相继宣布禁止本国企业向中国中兴销售芯片等零部件,随后中国对从美国进口的高粱发起反倾销调查。周三美国宣布对产自中国的钢制轮毂产品发起反倾销和反补贴调查。贸易纷争不断仍对黄金构成一定支撑。

Technical analysis of gold:

虽然昨日金价一度跌至1340一线的支撑,但是后半场再度出现了一波强势的拉升,日线依旧是以阳线收尾,带一有一个较长的下影线,也显示了下方的支撑较强,布林带三轨呈现平稳走平的形态,所以行情处于整理蓄势当中,金价依然处于布林带中轨附近震荡运行,5日均线开始拐头向下延伸,所以日内5日均线的得失将成为多空争夺的关键。目前整体在均线附近纠缠反复短线方面亦未拉开明显差距。MACD双线继续处于0轴附近处于粘合状态,STO双线虽然二次金叉已经初步形成,但是无明显多头强势迹象,所以日线依旧是看震荡。

  4小时线上看,黄金价格上涨略显乏力,短期内存在回调风险,多头动能略显不足,布林带逐渐缩口,三轨走平,KDJ三线在50线下方交金叉向上运行,指标MACD绿色动能在持续收缩,快慢线处于零轴上方黏合,4On the hour chart,k线运行到布林带中上轨之间,布林带三轨保持宽度运行,中轨抬头向上,KDJ三线在高位运行,MACD红色动能减弱,综合来看,走势还是在1340-1360之间震荡偏多头,操作上建议回调做多为主,高空为辅。上方重点关注1355and1360Frontline resistance level, pay attention below1340and1345First line support position.

  操作建议在1343Long nearby, stop loss1338, look at the goal1355附近。如果不破1355Frontline1352Near empty, stop loss1360, look at the goal1345Near.
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