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美元继续走弱,但下跌空间有限

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Market Review
  在周一的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈较大幅度的下跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到89.85,最低下跌到89.39, closing at89.43。欧美最高上涨到1.2394,最低下跌到1.2324, closing at1.2381。
  上周末,美英法联合对叙利亚发动了袭击,以报复叙利亚政府疑似使用化武袭击平民百姓。对此,俄罗斯总统普京周一发表重磅警告称,如西方军队“违反联合国宪章”进一步袭击叙利亚,国际关系将陷入“混乱”。而美国总统特朗普也“不甘寂寞”,再次“炮轰”中俄,令市场担忧货币战爆发的可能。美市盘中,美元指数持续下挫,而现货gold则一度冲破1350dollar/Ounce level.
The United States announced on Monday3Monthly retail sales rate recorded0.6%Higher than expected0.4%, previous value is-0.1%,终结此前三个月连跌的走势。3月核心零售销售月率录得0.2%,与预期和前值持平。3月零售销售额录得4946, higher than the previous value4820;3月核心零售销售录得3933,也略高于前值的3923。不过,同时公布的美国4月纽约联储制造业报告全线不及预期。美国4Recorded by the New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the month15.8, lower than expected18.6, previous value is22.5;4月纽约联储制造业新订单指数仅录得9,远低于前值的16.8;4月纽约联储制造业就业指数录得6, also lower than expected9.4。数据公布后,美元短线下跌,金银小幅走高。
从技术上来看,美指周一反弹受阻在89.85之下,下跌暂时在89.35之上受到brace, closing at89.43,意味着美元短线有可能反弹后保持下跌的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in89.70—89.10Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.2430---1.2340的区间下限买入,有效破点40止损,目标在区间的上限。
GBP/USD: can be used in1.4400---1.4300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.9630---0.9540Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.50---106.70Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.7800---0.7760Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.2605---1.2525Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Gold: can be found in1356.00---1341.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
  白银:可以在16.90---16.55Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.15美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 09:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia announces4Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
② 10:00 中国第一季度GDP年率、国新办举行新闻发布会介绍3月国民经济运行情况
③ 16:30 britain3Monthly unemployment rate, UK3Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK2Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
④ 17:00 Germany4monthZEWEconomic Prosperity Index, Eurozone4monthZEWEconomic Sentiment Index
⑤ 20:30 U.S.A3Annualized total monthly construction of new homes, USA3Total monthly construction permits
⑥ 21:15 U.S.A3月工业产出月率、美联储2018yearFOMC票委威廉姆斯发表演讲
⑦ 22:00 FOMC永久票委、美联储理事夸尔斯在众议院金融服务委员会作证词
⑧ The next day04:30 From the United States to4month13Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock
⑨ The next day05:40 Federal Reserve2018yearFOMC票委博斯蒂克在彭博活动上就经济状况发表讲话
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