Shan Chenjin:4.16避险过分夸大亚欧盘遇阻，黄金晚间走势分析

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Shan Chenjin:4.16避险过分夸大亚欧盘遇阻，gold晚间走势分析


Summary:4month16日，现货黄金欧盘微幅震荡，现报1344.70dollar/盎司。北京时间今晚20:30，美国将公布被称为“恐怖数据”的3月零售销售数据，该数据可能对黄金走势产生重大影响!


--International News Analysis--

由于美联储强调利率决定将取决于经济数据，而消费支出占美国经济产出的70%左右，美国零售销售数据经常在金融市场掀起大风浪，因此被称为“恐怖数据”。该数据经常掀起市场的巨大风浪。


据经济学家预测，美国3月零售销售月率料上升0.4%The previous value is a decrease0.1%;3Monthly core retail sales expected to increase0.2%The previous value is an increase0.2%。鉴于零售销售已经连续三个季度萎缩，3月份零售销售将成为消费的一个重要转折点。尽管如此，3月份零售销售温和反弹将不足以阻止整体个人支出下降，从而也无法阻止第一季度GDP增速的放缓。


零售销售是本周最受关注的经济指标。分析师认为，若零售销售数据表现不及预期，可能对美元构成压力，从而刺激金价反弹。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


周末的美国和叙利亚打的火热，一时间占据了金融财经市场的主流。避险情绪高谈阔论，周一股票暴跌，黄金避险高开高走预判比比皆是。但是我们发现周一开盘的市场，平开急跌之后反弹，尽管有所反复，但是远没有市场预期的那么强烈。很多时候就是这样，你以为是百分百确定的东西往往出了意外，你以为是肯定的多或空但是却错了。毕竟我们分析都是主观的。


黄金上周4阳加一阴，整体技术形态是3连碎阳之后放量大阳线，但是处于非趋势行情中我们发现碎阳之后的放量往往不延续，当晚美联储会议纪要急跌，次日又是一根中阴线，周五震荡反弹大阳。上周表现依然很反复，剧烈洗盘。延续周五非农1320的探底，周初走了1320-1327-1331的上行趋势线的震荡反弹，周三放量大阳线靠近年内1366高点午夜急跌，周四中阴震荡回落，周五探底中阳线。操作上我们还是把握到了行情的主节奏。

黄金上周虽然冲高1365未果，打破了日线三个月的三角整理但是依然没有展开有效的多头趋势行情，不过行情虽然没有改变反复洗盘的主节奏。但是依然方向上稍微偏强。日内开盘包括表现都让周评中过度解读周末美国叙利亚事件的人懵了。开盘急跌1340之后震荡反弹，目前来看日内依然是整理节奏，重点关注1350-1351压力，亚欧盘不能突破，要防止美盘继续回落测试1340-1338Location.


单晨金做单建议：


1、尊重市场，服从趋势


尊重市场就是要客观地面对市场，现货投资不能带自己的成见去揣摩市场。最少，市场与我们的想像不一样时，应及时退出观望。


2、限制亏损，滚动利润


做任何事情，都要讲究技巧，做现货交易每笔交易亏少赚多，就是现货最大的投资技巧。因此，投资客户在交易中要养成止损的习惯。留的青山在不怕没柴烧。相反假如有一点浮利就担心，则落袋为安，那么当行情继续沿着原先的方向运动时，经常也会不住的追进，如此反复，不光丢了西瓜，而且也破坏了自己的心态。


3、正确的资金管理


交易以小博大，可以小亏很多次，也可以挣很多次，但要一次大亏，就容易送命，以后再好的机会，也无缘于市场。作为投资客户一定要有良好的资金管理，控制好自己的仓位，判断正确时便顺势加码，尽可能的扩大战果，判断错误及时脱身。这样下来，一年中几次大的盈利足以弥补数次小的亏损。并能达到良好的盈利业绩。

Yes, don't believe in the ending, it's just another beginning. There was a time when I always liked to imagine how much the price would drop, how many orders I would buy, and how much I would earn from the price increase. But it has been shattered by reality time and time again. Later, it was discovered that this unreality came from the confused area of technology. When it falls, ask for more; when it rises, ask for more; always thinking about the middle line, but never doing it. Why? The end of wave after wave of market trends, the beginning of each trend, is just a cycle, and fate has not changed. Many people view trading solely as technical, without considering many of their own details, resulting in a disastrous failure. Toothache is not a disease, but it can be excruciating. That's the truth. When not sick, eat and drink recklessly, and when sick, swear to stop talking. This is human nature. The same goes for transactions. When a set of orders appears, I swear that there will be no more sets of orders after this release. As a result, I forget the pain of the scar and will still get a set of orders next time. You can't pass the gates of hell, you can't drink the mesmerizing soup. Only when you go through and eliminate misunderstandings can your trading truly grow.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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