Shan Chenjin:4.13黄金亚盘反弹遇阻，欧盘走势分析及策略 ​

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Shan Chenjin:4.13gold亚盘反弹遇阻，欧盘走势分析及策略
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abstract:周四晚间，美国总统特朗普称：北美自由贸易协定谈判进行的很顺利，促使美股大涨，另外，美联储偏鹰货币政策纪要也让黄金承压。


--International News Analysis--

特朗普一反常态现货黄金跌破1335Gateway


美国总统特朗普周四(4month12day)，就中美贸易争端、北美自由贸易协定谈判以及重新加入TPP发表相对友好言论。总的来看，此前令市场倍感困扰的三大“不定时炸弹”暂时化解危机，随着市场担忧情绪降低，美市盘中，日内跌幅约为1.4%，最低下探至1333.70dollar/ounce.


美联储纪要成焦点地缘局势被边缘化


美联储纪要使市场注意力从地缘局势中移开。考虑到特朗普言论的反复性，目前对投资者而言，地缘局势的重要性退居次要位置。由于市场关注焦点放在美联储纪要上，美联储会议纪要显示，决策者一致认为未来几个月，美国经济将会进一步增强，通胀将会回升。


--Analysis of spot gold market--


盘面上来看，昨日盘面亚盘反弹1353美元位置后连续下挫，欧美盘延续下行走势，在跌破1340的情况下，盘面价格再度回到震荡形态，一连串的下跌，价格再次回到短期均线位置，连续76天的整理，多次冲高和回落，都没有形成价格对短期均线的偏离，均线不跟随价格，震荡格局难改，今日盘面布局留意几点：

首先，消息仍是主导价格走势的关键性因素，特朗普阴晴不定，盘面形态多空交替循环，今日盘面重点关注美国4月密歇根大学消费者信心指数初值；其次，在盘面价格在03month01Richuang Xia1302低点以来，接下的回踩低点分别在1307，1320位置，下探的低点上移，重心抬高，同时高点1340，11347，1365也有新的突破，低点上一高点抬高，是一个比较有利于多头的形态，但收盘不能收高，回撤的幅度过大，多头难以持续发力。有望下探积蓄能量再冲高；最后，在短线的布局上，震荡行情中，亚盘的形态往往是单个交易日的关键，亚盘的强弱会在欧美盘延续，今日盘面我们就拿亚盘强势来定义欧美盘的形态。点位上关注1340，1331两个点。1340是夜间反弹高点位置，上一交易日连续下挫，夜间反弹高点就是下一交易日的压制位，连续走弱的行情，价格不会反弹破掉夜间高点，所以在亚盘破不掉1340的情况下欧美盘可空，而一旦站上这个位置，反弹破高，今日盘面就难以延续弱势；而1331是整个上升加速的起涨点位置，回撤一次不会突破1331，1331可以作为短空的目标位，第一次触及也可以作为短多的入场点。


--Suggestions for spot gold operation--


1，亚盘不破1340位置，欧美盘围绕1340Void1344Loss1331；


2，若亚盘站上1340位置，继续做震荡即可，欧美盘看反弹；


3，日内若延续回落，首次触及1331可多，损1327, Objective1338-1340。


短线炒黄金交易原则:


首先，要树立薄利的交易思想。日内短线不能贪，给自己规定一个合理的利润空间，达到目标时要立即出局，然后重新评判市场，耐心等待市场给出的下一次交易机会。


其次，尊重市场，顺应市场。交易员在市场面前，要永远保持自己谦卑的姿态，在市场面前，我们永远是无足轻重的。


第三，要精选符合自己交易原则和自己熟悉的交易机会，不打无把握之仗。日内超短由于获利很薄，要靠出手的成功率获胜，这一点尤其重要。


最后，跟其他类型的交易方式一样，控制风险也是日内超短的重中之重。打个比方，日内超短就好像打游击，以获得实利作为交易的出发点和最终依归，打得赢打，打不赢立刻撤退，保存自己的有生力量，等待下一次机会。

Yes, don't believe in the ending, it's just another beginning. There was a time when I always liked to imagine how much the price would drop, how many orders I would buy, and how much I would earn from the price increase. But it has been shattered by reality time and time again. Later, it was discovered that this unreality came from the confused area of technology. When it falls, ask for more; when it rises, ask for more; always thinking about the middle line, but never doing it. Why? The end of wave after wave of market trends, the beginning of each trend, is just a cycle, and fate has not changed. Many people view trading solely as technical, without considering many of their own details, resulting in a disastrous failure. Toothache is not a disease, but it can be excruciating. That's the truth. When not sick, eat and drink recklessly, and when sick, swear to stop talking. This is human nature. The same goes for transactions. When a set of orders appears, I swear that there will be no more sets of orders after this release. As a result, I forget the pain of the scar and will still get a set of orders next time. You can't pass the gates of hell, you can't drink the mesmerizing soup. Only when you go through and eliminate misunderstandings can your trading truly grow.


Author of this article: Shan Chenjin


Author's Message: A broad view and appointment, thick accumulation and thin hair!


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The above content is for reference only. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.