李文财：4.5EIA数据利多助原油反弹，后市看震荡上行

When communicating with many investors, many of them said to me, "Teacher, I can actually feel that prices will move in the right direction, but my psychological quality is poor. I stepped out early, and I am afraid that profits will turn into losses.". Here's a question to ask:"If you knew that the price would really reach that point in the end, would you still come out early?"Wen Cai believes that you won't. You may even tolerate temporary large floating losses and not be eliminated early. Speaking of which, what Wen Cai wants to tell you is that you are not mentally ill, but rather that even the teacher who led you in the operation is unwilling to admit the fact that you did not predict that it would rise/The ability to fall to that tempting position! So don't make excuses for such regrets anymore. When your abilities can't support your ambitions, be humble and seek advice!

　　美油futuresClosing down0.02%Report63.56dollar/Barrel; Oil futures up0.15%Report68.28dollar/桶。受中美贸易冲突升级的影响，油价周三持续下跌，不过，EIAcrude oil库存意外大降抵消贸易争端利空，油价跌幅缩减，欧佩克3月产量跌至一年低点也为油价提供支撑。EIAPublished as of3month30Daily and weekly crude oil inventory decrease461.7万桶。据华尔街日报，伊拉克正想方设法购买摩洛哥的炼油厂，因其计划长期提高石油产量，并寻求在产量提高之前找到安全的新产能以及可靠的新买家。


　　原油：油价周三（4month4日）小幅收低，因美国原油库存意外减少，带动油价从日低反弹。此前中国对一系列美国商品征收关税的行动助燃了贸易战忧虑，拖累油价跌至日低。国务院关税税则委员会决定对原产于美国的大豆、汽车、化工品等14class106项商品加征25%的关税。之后布兰特和美国原油期货均跌至两周低点。


　　日图布林带缓和朝上运行，MA5Under the moving averageMA10The moving average intersects with a strong downward trend,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks of Bollinger,MACD快慢线位于零轴上方交死叉下行，绿色动能初现，KDJ三线呈死叉继续强势下攻，行情表现明显的空头趋势；四小时级别上，K线价格运行BOLL下轨上方，三线向下平行运行，指标上MACD趋势性指标绿色动能住持续放量，双线死叉继续运行中，稍有拐头迹象但不明显，继续保持看空即可，RSI相对强弱指标运行50值下方弱势区间，K线自布林带下轨拐头拉升，KDJ金叉上扬，MACD绿色动能柱缩量运行，也表明原油短期会有上涨。

　　小时级别，K线自布林带下轨拐头上行，均线和KDJ金叉上扬，MACD绿色动能柱缩量，表明目前原油涨势强劲；操作上文财建议低多为主，上方关注64.2One line of resistance, pay attention below62.2Frontline support.


Suggestions for crude oil operation:


　　1Suggest using64.1-64.2Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.3Points, target63.2-96Near the US dollar;


　　2Suggest using62.8-63.0Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.3Points, target64Around the US dollar.


　　【投资有风险，入市需谨慎，做单建议带止损止盈，操作权由投资者本人自主决定，建议仅供参考，亏盈自负】


Author/Li Wenchai (official WeChat account:lwc540179821）