4.4中国吹响反击号角，黄金走高待晚间小非农

　　读万卷书不如行万里路，行万里路不如阅人无数，阅人无数不如名家指路，名家指路不如名家带路。大家好，我是李文财，愿我有机会为你照亮前行的道路，投资路艰辛，你我共斩荆，携手齐头进，共创辉煌命。

　　#Message surface#


　　美国政府不顾中方严正交涉和事实依据，于3日公布对华“301调查”征税产品建议清单，涉及每年从中国进口的价值约500亿美元商品。美方此举是居高临下的单方胁迫，是典型的单边主义和贸易保护主义做法，既不能缩减美国现有的贸易逆差，也不符合解决贸易摩擦的国际规则。美方倘若如此一条路走到黑，终将落得利义尽失。搞贸易胁迫利义尽失，是死路一条。面对特朗普政府的霸道行为，中方已表明立场，将坚决捍卫自身合法权益，在诉诸世贸组织争端解决机制的同时，也将依法对美产品采取同等力度、同等规模的对等措施。


　　国务院关税税则委员会决定对原产于美国的大豆、汽车、化工品和飞机等14class106项商品加征25%的关税，涉及2017年中国自美国进口金额约500亿美元。实施日期将视美国政府对中国商品加征关税实施情况而另行公布。


　　该消息引起全球金融市场动荡，现货金银短线上扬，现货gold涨幅扩大至0.5%，一度上破1340dollar/盎司关口，现报1343.1dollar/盎司；现货白银日内涨幅扩大至0.4%；在岸和离岸人民币双双下跌；标普500indexfuturesfall1%；“恐慌指数”VIX日内涨近8%to22.7。


　　文财个人观点：黄金自周一开盘受贸易战的影响单边走高，涨幅逾20美金，一度走高至1345一线后承压，周二并未延续涨势走一个回落的行情，最低至1329一线，基本回吐前一日涨幅，今日黄金早间一直在1334附近徘徊，下午受贸易战的影响短线走高，再度冲破1340一线，目前于1342一线。近几日黄金虽然大涨大跌，但都未突破关键点位，所以还是以一个震荡的行情对待，不过由于贸易战近期的动荡，多头表现的稍微强势一点。后市大区间依旧看涨，但是如果未能突破关键点位，还是以震荡对待，晚间小非农，周五大非农数据重点关注。

　　#黄金行情解析及策略#


　　一小时图显示，黄金强势上破布林带上轨，虽然有所回落，但还是在上轨上方运行，MACDBilinear to0轴上方二次形成金叉，红柱动能放量，KDJandRSI指标走平，多头动能偏强；四小时上看，上轨1345一线的压力位仍然存在，不破还是会走一个回落震荡的行情，下方关注中轨1333一线的支撑以及昨日低点1328的支撑；日线布林带呈一个平行的走势，并未有明显的强弱提醒，在周五大非农数据前走一个震荡的概率较大。操作上依旧以低多操作为主，高空为辅。区间1345-1328操作，破位顺势跟进，点位仅供参考，具体以实盘为主。


　　#文财寄语#


When communicating with many investors, many of them said to me, "Teacher, I can actually feel that prices will move in the right direction, but my psychological quality is poor. I stepped out early, and I am afraid that profits will turn into losses.". Here's a question to ask:"If you knew that the price would really reach that point in the end, would you still come out early?"Wen Cai believes that you won't. You may even tolerate temporary large floating losses and not be eliminated early. Speaking of which, what Wen Cai wants to tell you is that you are not mentally ill, but rather that even the teacher who led you in the operation is unwilling to admit the fact that you did not predict that it would rise/The ability to fall to that tempting position! So don't make excuses for such regrets anymore. When your abilities can't support your ambitions, be humble and seek advice!


Author/Li Wenchai (official WeChat account:lwc540179821）