顾仲翔：期货交易该怎么去做趋势跟踪？

[sup]　　无论futures还是股票，趋势跟踪没有什么明确的分类。[/sup]


[sup]　　如果真要分类，那按照周期不同的分类。比如，日线级别的趋势跟踪，小时线级别，日内级别，甚至是周线级别。[/sup]

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[sup]　　或者从资金管理细节上分，比如，加仓型的趋势跟踪，不加仓型趋势跟踪，[/sup]


[sup]　　还有加仓方式上分：反弹加仓型趋势跟踪，突破式趋势跟踪……[/sup]


[sup]　　或者从入场依据上分：算法式趋势跟踪，均线类趋势跟踪，形态类趋势跟踪等等。[/sup]


[sup]　　基本上就这么多了。那么，怎么去做趋势跟踪？[/sup]


[sup]　　很简单，只要你能满足截断亏损，让利润奔跑。就可以定义为自己为趋势跟踪。“趋势”本就难定义。什么叫趋势？难道只有日线级别流畅的单边走势叫趋势吗？不是的。[/sup]


[sup]　　日线级别的反弹，在小时线就是趋势，小时线的回调，在十五分钟级别也是趋势。V型反转，也是一种趋势。级别和周期的不同，“趋势”也就多种多样。所以，单纯的从形态走势上，我们无法轻易的定义趋势。[/sup]


[sup]　　但是，只要你能够截断亏损，让利润奔跑，都属于趋势交易。因为“趋势”意味着某一级别的单边走势，而在单边走势中，你能够拿住单子，就能跟上趋势。如果不是趋势，截断亏损就可以了。比如下图：[/sup]

[sup]　　这是铁矿石期货的日线走势，它是什么趋势？可能在日线交易者眼里，属于下跌趋势的尾声。那么，在这种情况下，做多是趋势跟踪吗？没有固定答案，得看他的交易周期，比如下图：[/sup]

[sup]　　在铁矿的十五分钟周期里，有交易者第一次做多，然后截断了损失。然后第二次做多，拿了一波多头“趋势”。只要他截断亏损，让利润奔跑，就能做到他自己交易周期里的“趋势”。[/sup]


[sup]　　所以，怎么去做趋势跟踪呢？只要你能够在你的交易周期中，截断亏损，让利润奔跑，就可以了。就是这么简单。[/sup]


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[sup](Disclaimer: Respect copyright, reproduction and plagiarism are prohibited. The content of this article is purely the author's personal opinion and is for investor reference only. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should operate based on this and bear the risk themselves.)[/sup]
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