NFX 品汇国际：美元回调后反弹多头信心仍不足

Market Review
　　在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元继续呈小幅震荡整理的走势，美元指数最高上涨到90.15,最低下跌到89.82, closing at90.05。欧美最高上涨到1.23450，最低下跌到1.22820, closing at1.23000。
　　周一美元指数低位反弹，因公布的美国ISM制造业物价支付指数表现强劲，令多头备受鼓舞。与之形成鲜明对比的是，美国总统特朗普的一篇推特再次“惹祸”，美股暴跌不已，今年转而进入消极区域。此外，近期作为关键指标的债市和gold双双发出警讯，预示着美国的金融状况正持续恶化，表明第二季度市场可能会经历与第一季度类似的颠簸。
　　最新数据显示，美国3monthISM制造业物价支付指数刷新2011year4月以来新高；美国ISM制造业新订单指数刷新去年8New low since the beginning of the month.
　　不过中美贸易摩擦升级，一定程度加剧了市场担忧情绪。昨天半夜中国财政部宣布自4month2日起，对美国128项产品征收关税，且新华社称，若美一意孤行中方将再还击。
　　值得注意的是，周一美国股市全线低开低走，道指跌幅超过100Point; S&P500指数跌幅扩大至1%；纳斯达克指数大幅超过1%。亚马逊、特斯拉股价也大幅走低！
从技术上来看,美指周一回调在89.85之上受到brace，反弹受阻在90.15之下，收盘在90.05,意味着美元短线有可能反弹后保持回调的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.20—89.70Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit15Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23700---1.22700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking through250Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.41050---1.40150Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.95700---0.95100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit250Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in106.300---105.200Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76850---0.76250Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.29950---1.28850Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
Gold: can be found in1350.00---1333.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
　　白银：可以在16.750---16.450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 12:30 澳洲联储公布利率决议及政策声明
② 15:15 Switzerland2Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
③ 15:50 France3Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
④ 15:55 Germany3Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑤ 16:00 eurozone3Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑥ 16:30 britain3Monthly manufacturing industryPMI
⑦ The next day04:30 From the United States to3month30Day and WeekAPIcrude oil库存、美联储理事布雷纳德将发表讲话