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[paragraph]Fundamentals:
上周四美国2Monthly CorePCEMonthly rate of price index(0.2%)及年率(1.6%)皆符合预期,而3Month ChicagoPMI(57.4)及密大消费者信心终值(101.4)则劣于预期,整体数据利好贵金属。至于地缘风险方面则是好坏参半,继韩朝高级会谈后,预计四月底将举行两国首脑会议,甚至举办美韩朝三方会谈,使得朝鲜半岛局势持续趋缓;另美国动用301调查,对价值600亿美元的中国商品制裁后,中方今日亦针对128项美国商品加征关税,其中水果类课15%税、猪肉相关则课25%,预计中美贸易战短期难以结束。
On Monday,gold短线上涨,最高上探1330美元。中国财政部4month1号深夜发布通告称,对美国128项进口商品加征关税,自2018year4month2日起实施。地缘政治风险再升温,黄金获得强劲支撑。上周黄金回吐周初涨幅,多重利空下大幅走低,一度痛失1350、1340、1330关口。分析师们鼓励多头保持信心,因为黄金市场有可能最终突破1400dollar/盎司大关。本周市场还将迎来重磅非农数据和鲍威尔讲话,必将掀起新一轮风暴,黄金大行情将至!
Technical aspect:
日线级别,上周金价跌破1330大关。黄金目前小幅反弹,升破20日均线。逼近50日均线水平。技术指标上,MACD红色动能柱收缩,双线即将交叉,KDJ指标向下。
60分钟级别来看,金价自低位反弹,若突破50Daily moving average1331附近,则有望将看向3month27Daily high point1356.80美元,突破料看向年内高位1366美元,更进一步阻力位于2016year7month8Daily high point1375美元。至于下行方面,若后市跌破1320关口,则看向100日均线附近支撑位1310美元,进一步支撑看向200Daily moving average1293USD.
Operation suggestions:
1324Nearby, stop loss1319, Objective1331-1335
Investment carries risks, the above content is for reference only, and everyone needs to choose according to their own situation.
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