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Market Review
在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈大幅上涨的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.15,最低下跌到89.25, closing at90.06。欧美最高上涨到1.24220,最低下跌到1.23000, closing at1.23130。
随着市场对贸易战的担忧情绪持续缓解且美国最新出炉的四季度GDP终值好于预期,美元指数持续上涨,突破90关口阻力。此外,月末和季末资金流也推升了美元。随着美元回暖,以欧元和日元为首的非美货币加速下滑。同时美元能从五周低点反弹,也因投资者摆脱了对贸易战的担忧。
美国周三公布的四季度实际GDPRecorded final value of annualized quarterly rate2.9%Better than expected2.7%, previous value is2.5%;同时公布的四季度实际个人消费支出季率终值录得4%,同样好于前值和预期的3.8%;四季度核心PCERecord of the final value of the annualized quarterly rate of the price index1.9%,符合预期。数据公布后,美元延续此前涨势。
本月,美国总统特朗普宣布对中国进口商品征收关税,中国威胁会采取对等措施应对,这在全球市场掀起波澜。但贸易战全面爆发的担忧已经缓和,因投资人希望磋商能带来妥协。季末和月底的资金流提振美元,因全球资产和基金经理人重新平衡投资组合,分析师表示。数据显示,美国第四季经济成长放缓程度不及之前的预估,这也支撑美元。
从技术上来看,美指周三回调在88.25之上受到brace,上涨突破90.00关口的阻力,收盘在90.06,意味着美元短线有可能回调后继续保持上涨的走势。如果美指今天回调到89.80之上受到brace,后市上涨的目标将会指向90.40—90.70。汇价只有跌破89.40 ofbrace,才会有继续走弱的可能。汇价只有重新站稳在91.00之上,才能拓展上涨的空间。今天美指短线阻力在90.35—90.40Short term important resistance90.65—90.70. Today, the short-term support of the US Index is on89.80—89.85Short term important support in89.50—89.55。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.70—89.80Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23500---1.22300Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.41300---1.40000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.96500---0.95300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.900---106.300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76950---0.76250Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.29750---1.28750Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
gold: Can be found in the1333.00—1310.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit7USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在16.400—16.100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:01 britain3monthGfkConsumer confidence index
② 14:00 britain3monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
③ 15:00 Switzerland3monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
④ 15:55 Germany3Unemployment after quarterly adjustment, Germany3Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
⑤ 16:30 英国第四季度经常帐、英国2月央行抵押贷款许可、英国第四季度GDPAnnual rate final value
⑥ 20:00 Germany3monthCPIInitial monthly rate
⑦ 20:30 Canada1monthGDPMonthly rate, US to3month24Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
⑧ 20:30 U.S.A2Monthly personal expenditure rate, US2Monthly CorePCEMonthly and annual rates of price index
⑨ 21:45 U.S.A3Month ChicagoPMI
10 22:00 U.S.A3Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month
⑪ 22:30 From the United States to3month23Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory |
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