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贺诚瑞:晚评黄金原油走势分析及操作建议

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International news:



美国经济委员会主任科恩的辞职,以及美国国务卿蒂勒森的解雇,都引发了不小的避险买盘参与,只是,这样的消息真的很难让多头站稳,解一时之渴而已。这段时间,金价波动的范围在不断的缩小,进入了盘整的阶段,估计一切的横盘都是在为下周美联储3月的利率决议做准备,震荡的日子也不会太久了,而加息一旦落地,势必带动gold发起新一轮的上攻。



如果,今年3次加息的预期能够符合,美元就真正的要开跌了,踏入熊市当中,向进一步的下行空间里迈进,而美元与黄金一直是持相反方向,这也就给黄金2018的小牛市给足了上涨的理由,加息前没有破位1300,加息后就很难破位了,即使破位也不影响大涨的格局。在政治和金融动荡的时间内,避险属性下的货币往往会受到追捧或青睐,近期的市场也受此影响有反弹,但一直也只是蓄势待涨,当然了加息前走空也是毫无疑问,加息落地起涨也是我们不用担心。



Technical analysis of gold:



 日线上,随着昨日的一波走跌,日线布林带上轨严重向下勾头至1337Frontline, andMA5均线再次下穿MA10The moving average forms a dead cross, with attached indicatorsMACD方面快慢线也是向下勾头,如果今日继续走跌,那么能量柱将会放量,杨采薇的首拼加上771是唯鑫.后势将加剧走跌的步伐,黄金在经过连续的盘整之后,最终还是选择了向下跌的一个走势,这也是情理之中的事情,毕竟下周加息的事情摆在这里,日内黄金区间压缩至1310-1325,重点关注下方1310是否会再次破位。4小时上,随着昨日美盘的走跌,4小时布林带已经向下开口,MA5均线也是下穿MA10The moving average forms a dead cross, with attached indicatorsMACD方面快慢线也是形成死叉向下,并且已经在O轴下方,整体来说4小时已经是双死叉向下的走势,目前K线贴着布林带下轨运行,日内反弹MA5的位置就可以进空单。小时线上,目前MA5均线向上勾头,附图指标MACD方面能量柱也开始缩减,快线走平,有走一波反弹的迹象。目前诚瑞建议操作上以1318一线支撑,震荡上行。回调看多,具体点位关注本人信息。



Operation suggestions:

  1Suggest callback1318Close in, stop loss4USD, target1325-1327

  2Suggestions1325Close in, stop loss4USD, target1318-1316



crude oilTechnical analysis:



原油日线收阳,亚欧盘处于震荡,美盘承压61.54高点回落,最低触及60.82,整日行情波动不大,处于区间震荡,从4From an hourly perspective,kLine running onMA5andMA10上方,布林带开口走平,自EIA数据大幅利空,受阻61.3受压回落,下探60.1支撑反弹,低点不断上移,高点不断抬高,整体处于三角区间震荡,日内操作还是高空为主,低多辅助,上方关注61.6/61.8Follow below60.2/60brace



Operation suggestions:

  1Suggestions61.6Short selling, stop loss62, Objective60.6frontline

  2Suggestions60.6Long, stop loss60.2, Objective61.5frontline



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