Yimeng Shengding:3.15黄金反弹昙花一现，午间黄金走势分析及解套策略

　　——前言
　　
　　  顺势操作，要记住市场古老通则：亏损部位要尽快终止，获利部位能持有多久就放多久。另一重要守则是不要让亏损发生在原已获利的部位上，面对市场突如其来的反转走势，与其平仓于没有获利的情形也不要让原已获利的仓位变成亏损的情形。

　　

　　翼盟胜鼎——消息面解读
　　
Tuesday Beijing Time(3month13day)20:30Published in the United States2After adjusting the roseCPIMonthly rate is0.2％，符合预期，前值为0.5％。其它分项数据方面，美国2Monthly CoreCPIMonthly rate recorded0.2%Expected to be0.2%, previous value is0.3％;2Monthly and quarterly adjustmentsCPIAnnual rate recorded2.2%Expected to be2.2%, previous value is2.1％;2Monthly and quarterly adjustment coreCPIThe annual rate is1.8％，与前值和预期持平。数据公布后，美元冲高回落，最低触及89.841;gold一度下挫4美元，但随即回升至1320dollar/盎司关口上方，短线波幅高达8USD.COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time20:30The trading volume within one minute is6968The total value of trading contracts exceeds9亿美元。同时随着美国总统特朗普解除了蒂勒森国务卿职务，中央情报局局长庞皮欧将取代蒂勒森担任国务卿。消息传出后，黄金突破1325美元关口，美元指数跌30Points.

　　

　　翼盟胜鼎——黄金技术分析
　　
　　技术面来看，从周线大周期看，目前黄金依然保持在区间震荡之中，上方受5、10日均线压制，下方受布林带中轨及30日均线支撑，也就是前期多次强调的区间1300-1330之间，而在这一区未能形成破位前，千万别试图逆趋势而行，MACD双线依然处于0轴附近走平状态；STO双线继续保持死叉的节奏，但目前快线有所放缓。所以周线整体格局，依然处于一个震荡稍有偏强走势。再看日线，布林带呈现缩口状态，黄金依然处于布林带中轨下方运行，暂时受到布林带中轨及30日均线压制，下方60日均线依然保持稳步抬高的趋势，而短期均线指标5/10日均线目前与60日均线重合，所以对于今天来说，我们依然留意1323-30这一区间突破，STO在昨天涨幅后，快线已经上穿慢线形成金叉。所以日线上整体格局属于一个震荡偏强走势。今天需要重点留意1330的破位，如果此次破位，那么上方有望进一步打开空间，下方如果再次下破1323，那么有望继续去试探布林带下轨1308附近。短周期4小时线上，由于昨天收于高位，使布林带上轨重新开口，目前处于布林带上轨附近徘徊，短期均线5/10日均线紧跟步伐，但30日均线有时迟缓，依然呈现一个向下延伸的趋势。所以整体来看，翼盟胜鼎认为4小时目前处于一个震荡偏强走势，需要留意1323and1320一带的支撑，其次就是布林带下轨1313-15一带的支撑点，上方关注120Daily moving average1330的压制，操作上建议高空为主，低多为辅。翼盟的拼音再加上06It's Wei Xin.
　　
　　翼盟胜鼎——黄金精准建议
　　
　　1、1330强势破位，顺势轻仓多，止损1326, Objective1335、13340
　　
　　2、1330不破反弹做空，止损1334, Objective1325、1323

　　​

　　近三年加息前后黄金的走势情况：
　　
　　  2015year12month17The Federal Reserve of Japan and the United States has raised interest rates for the first time. Prior to the rate hike, the market was heavily bearish due to the impact of expected rate hikes, resulting in the lowest decline in gold prices1046After confirming the interest rate hike, gold1046Seeing the bottom, gold finally surged to1378The position of the US dollar has risen sharply330Surplus US dollars!
　　
　　  2016year12month15The second interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve of Japan and the United States, influenced by expectations of rate hikes before the hike1330A sharp drop above the point200Surplus US dollars, minimum to1125frontline. After the confirmation of interest rate hikes, gold bulls experienced a surge, the highest impact1270The region is experiencing a significant increase150dollar!
　　
　　  2017year3month16The Federal Reserve of Japan and the United States has raised interest rates for the third time. Prior to the rate hike, gold was affected by expectations of a rate hike1270Down below, lowest drop1195Region; After the Federal Reserve confirmed the interest rate hike, gold experienced an upward trend, albeit with twists and turns, but with the highest surge impact1300At the checkpoint, the increase is close to110dollar!
　　
　　  2017year6month15The fourth interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve of Japan and the United States, with gold under pressure due to expectations of rate hikes before the hike1300Gateway, daily line formation1296Double peak decline, gold surges and falls to its lowest point after confirming interest rate hike1204The region has reached a bottom, with the highest increase1357Region, with an increase of150Surplus US dollars!
　　
　　  2017year12month14The fifth interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve of Japan and the United States, influenced by the expected increase in market conditions before the hike, has led to a decline in market trends12At the beginning of the month1299Exploring all the way down nearby1236.6Nearby, in just over ten days, the market has plummeted like a bamboo; Subsequently, after the Federal Reserve confirmed the interest rate hike, the market surged all the way to1366Nearby, the increase has reached133Around US dollars!
　　
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