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Market Review
在上周五的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈上涨后小幅落的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.38, 最低下跌到89.99, closing at90.09。欧美最高上涨到1.23340,最低下跌到1.22730, closing at1.23150。
上周五美元震荡持稳,因美国劳工部上周五公布的数据显示,美国2Non farm employment increased31.3万人,录得一年半以来最大涨幅,2月失业率连续五个月持稳于4.1%,继续处于17年以来的低位,但薪资增长放缓的速度超过预期,这支持美联储年内不会过快加息的预期。就业报告可能在短期内提振美元,但美国总统特朗普对钢铝征税的决定引发的贸易紧张局势,以及美国以外的国家增长加速,应该在长期拖累美元。同时交易商押注,就业市场不断收紧将增强美联储在本月稍后升息,以及在今年晚些时候再升息两次的理据,但薪资增长放缓应该会使今年升息四次的可能性降低。
日本央行稍早坚持鸽派政策立场。日本央行行长黑田东彦对经济成长持乐观态度,但强调称,在通胀触及2%目标前,没有调整货币政策的计划,这令日元全线下跌。另一方面,交易商缩减日圆避险头寸,因有消息称,美国总统特朗普准备与朝鲜领袖金正恩会晤,可能打破朝鲜核问题上的僵局。
从技术上来看,美指上周五反弹受阻在90.40之下,下跌到90.00之上受到brace, closing at90.09,意味着美元短线有可能回调整理后保持反弹的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.55—89.95Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23400---1.22500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.38950---1.37950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.95550---0.94850Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.550---106.450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78750---0.77950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28600---1.27500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1328.00—1316.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在16.750—16.350Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 今日无重点关注数据与事件
(上周日北美地区已进入夏令时,美国和加拿大金融市场交易事件将较冬令时提前一小时)