3.6三月加息前黄金震荡下跌，看本周非农挽救黄金多头

　三月加息即将来临，我们期待已久，鲍威尔上台的首个加息，市场大部分人认为是加息25％个基点，你认为呢？本周五是加息前的非农，也事一个不错的行情，你准备好了吗？纵观近几个月的非农行情，虽说没有太大的波动，基本是在上下五美金的波动，但是非农后往往会走出一定的区间，这之中也是有10~30美金的利润，让我们一起期待周五的来临！在非农来临前，我们来说说近期gold的一个走势：

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　　　　金市要闻：

特郎普的关税计划已经被贴上了对消费者的间接征税的标签，这意味着它可能会加剧“恶性通胀”，进而迫使投资者将资金转移到黄金，因为黄金是经典的通胀对冲工具。

　　　　不断上行的物价压力虽然可能迫使美联储以更快速度升息，但这可能不会伤及黄金，而美联储的反应将加大市场对股市的负面展望，转而对黄金有利。

　　　　本周聚焦美国2月非农就业人口变动及薪资增长数据，或成就或损害黄金走势。在财政刺激、减税和贸易战的背景下，如果美国非农行情好于预期，则将令市场对今年升息3次的预期更加强烈，甚至预期今年升息4次，届时将对黄金构成严重打压。

　　　　金市解析：

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　　　　4小时线上，黄金处于周期上涨末端调整阶段，从KJudging from the trend of the line structure, gold has broken through the previous low point in its decline1306reach1303Afterwards, it did not continue to decline, but instead chose to rebound after breaking through the previous low point and continue to close with the cross star, appearing at the low pointV型反转的形态，那么按照结构来看，目前即将进入多头结构，而在形态上同样也是支持这一点，施进格的角度上来看自1303After the inflection point appears, the positive line is very strong. Judging from the moving average1361The decline begins, while the contrast1366Since the decline, there have been many times that the long-term moving average has repeatedly crossed, so from the perspective of the moving average, the market is adjusted in the form of volatility. Therefore, according to this theory, the current position of the breakout10MAIt means we need to do more and look ahead.

　　　　技术指标上，KDJCurrently operating at a high level and with a clear high passivation structure, then follow theKDJFrom the perspective of operational logic, if there is no extreme market trend, it will start to retreat after experiencing multiple passivations. Therefore, according to inertiaKDJWill begin to decline,MACDAfter hitting the low gold cross on the fast line and slow line, it is not ruled out that the market is about to start a bullish trendMACD的惯性来看高位动能红柱收缩后预期将开始回调，但是总体上或将继续以看空为主，那么黄金晚间博旺建议仍将保持着慢涨急跌的走势，上方重点关注1327-1330阻力区间，下方关注1317Frontline support.

　　　　金市策划：

　　　　1-3万美金级别，我们相对以稳健保守的方案来操作，因为资金量不是很大，所以操作上以稳健为主，主要以短线利润为主，不带任何激进操作（预计一月盈利能在50％以上）；

　　　　4-7At the level of tens of thousands of US dollars, we also use a strategy that focuses on stable operations. Of course, we need to be relatively aggressive in our position allocation, mainly combining short-term and medium-term operations. We use the medium-term to grasp the profit band and the short-term to prevent profit drawdown (it is expected that the monthly profit will be...)80％以上）；

　　　　8For orders of over ten thousand US dollars, we offer a customizable operation plan to use20％来进行短线仓位的配置，用30％来进行长线仓位配置，我们不放过任何一个波段，大小利润通吃，达到最大的盈利！（预计一月盈利能在100％以上）

　　　　风险提示：以上内容仅代表作者博旺论金（QQ791321568）Personal opinions do not provide any express or implied warranties regarding the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the content contained; Investment carries risks, so caution is necessary when entering the market. Operate accordingly and bear the risk yourself!