NFX 品汇国际：加息预期助长美元非美继续回调

Market Review
　　在周三的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈上涨的走势，美元指数最高上涨到90.70, 最低下跌到90.30, closing at90.61。欧美最高上涨到1.22410，最低下跌到1.21880, closing at1.22030。
　　美国公布的四季度GDP修正值符合预期，而1月成屋签约销售指数则意外下滑。尽管如此，数据公布后，美元指数持续上涨，刷新日高至90.70。经济学家认为，美国经济今年将达到特朗普政府3%的年度增长目标，这可能会给美联储带来更大的压力，使其比目前预期的更激进。
　　美联储主席鲍威尔对经济发表正面的评估，投资者对美联储未来两年可能积极加息的预期升温，这帮助美元在2Monthly recording2016year11月来最佳月度表现。美联储主席鲍威尔周二对美国经济的论调乐观，助燃了美联储今年可能加息四次，而不是三次的预期。他的讲话提振美国公债收益率，打压股市，并带动美元走高。
　　欧元兑美元跌至六周低点。今年欧元开局强劲，因投资者臆测欧洲央行可能撤走刺激措施。但政治情势发展也令欧元投资人谨慎。意大利将在周日迎来大选，而德国主要政党将对联合组阁协议做出决定。
从技术上来看,美指周三回调在90.300之上受到brace，上涨受阻在90.70之下，收盘在90.61,意味着美元短线有可能回调整理后保持上涨的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.90—90.40Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.22300---1.21600Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through350Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.38150---1.36650Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.94900---0.94000Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in107.250---106.250Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78100---0.77300Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28900---1.27800Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1325.00—1311.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
　　白银：可以在16.550—16.250Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
（韩国首尔证券交易所因三一节休市一日）
① 09:45 China2Yuecai New Manufacturing IndustryPMIFinal value
② 15:00 britain2monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
③ 16:15 Switzerland1Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
④ 16:50 France2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑤ 16:55 Germany2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑥ 17:00 eurozone2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIFinal value
⑦ 17:30 britain2Monthly manufacturing industryPMIUK1Monthly central bank mortgage loan permit
⑧ 18:00 eurozone1Monthly unemployment rate
⑨ 21:30 加拿大第四季度经常帐、美国至2month24Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
10 21:30 U.S.A1Monthly personal expenditure rate, US1Monthly CorePCE物价指数年率及月率
⑪ 22:45 U.S.A2monthMarkitmanufacturingPMIFinal value
⑫ 23:00 U.S.A2monthISMmanufacturingPMI, USA1Monthly construction expenditure monthly rate
⑬ 23:00 美联储主席鲍威尔在美国参议院银行业委员会作半年度货币政策报告
⑬ 23:30 From the United States to2month23Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑮ undetermined 俄罗斯总统普京发表国情咨文演讲
⑯ The next day00:00 纽约联储主席杜德利在巴西央行组织的活动上就贸易和全球化问题发表讲话 阅读更多