Tuesday night21:30,美联储公布了半年度货币政策报告,稍后23:00,美联储主席鲍威尔即将迎来国会首秀。在提前公布的货币政策报告中,美联储重申循序渐进加息的立场,但没有透露今年可能加息四次的信号。报告公布后,黄金宽幅震荡近10美元,一度重返1330USD level,COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time21:30The trading volume within one minute is5283The total value of trading contracts exceeds7亿美元。在半年度货币政策报告中,鲍威尔阐述了当前经济状况和经济前景。在经济前景方面,报告认为美国经济前景强劲,面临的一些顶头风目前已变成利好。美国出口需求为制造业提供相当大的支持,与贸易伙伴的贸易增加应该会导致美国出口进一步走强。美国的财政政策更具刺激性,外部的需求增强,海外经济活动近几个季度以来较为稳定。鲍威尔表示,美联储政策路径将取决于经济前景及未来经济指标。对于通胀预期,鲍威尔表示通胀乏力反映的是暂时性因素,美联储不希望这会重复出现。月度通胀数据在去年年底较几个月前略微上扬,年度通胀将在今年开始上扬,预计中期将稳定在2%左右。而在就业市场方面,就业参与率基本保持不变,就业市场表现强劲,这将支持家庭收入和支出增长。近期薪资增速上扬可能受到生产力疲软的抑制;但去年商业投资应该对生产力有所提振,未来乐观的商业情绪和强劲的销售增长可能会继续推动商业投资和薪资加速增长。
关于货币政策,美联储认为近期金融环境收紧不会严重压制经济前景、就业和通胀,预计未来风险大体均衡。进一步逐步加息将最有利于实现美联储的通胀和就业目标,美联储政策委员会将在避免经济过热和推动通胀持续升向2%目标之间取得平衡。近期的市场波动性也不会停止进一步加息。
Gold from4小时图来看,美盘开盘,美联储新任主席鲍威尔发表鹰派言论,黄金短线快速下探1324一线,打破结构点位1330一线,黄金破位,那么前期的结构已经发生破坏,那么操作上反弹不过今日的高点可以做空下看,从指标来看,RSI中部拐头向下,Stoch指标运行低位,指标显示有反弹的需求,但是从当前的K线来看,预计反弹力度不会很强势,晚间重点关注今日高点1336一线压力位,此位置不破,黄金将会继续下行,关注今日日线的收线,今日日线如果收阴,那么黄金进入调整的周期将会加大,日内上方关注1333and1336First line pressure level, follow below1322First line support position.
晚间操作策略
1: Above1330Frontline empty orders entering, stop loss4US dollars, look at the target1324
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