NFX 品汇国际：美指90大关难保,非美再次冲高

Market Review
　　在周二的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈反弹后继续下跌的走势，美元指数最高上涨到90.59, 最低下跌到90.05, closing at90.12。欧美最高上涨到1.23060，最低下跌到1.22230, closing at1.22950。
　　周二美国公布的最新经济数据表现异常疲弱，数据公布之后美元跌势加剧。
　　数据显示，美国1The monthly Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index is14, expected19, Previous value20。美元指数加速下滑至逾三年新低90.05，异常疲弱的经济数据加之美国政治前景的不明朗令美元承压。回顾一下美国最近的紧缩周期可以发现，眼下的全球宏观环境与2004年有诸多相似之处，美元指数恐还要大跌10%。
　　周二美国国会通过了为期三周的融资法案，结束了为期三天的政府停摆，美元一度收复失地。该法案由美国总统特朗普签署，使美国政府有资金维持到2month8日，但在解决民主党和共和党之间潜在的政策冲突方面几乎没有起到任何作用。这意味着，如果两党未能就政府支出水平和移民问题达成协议，那么可能会再次发生类似的关门事件。
从技术上来看,美指周二反弹受阻在90.60之下，跌破前低90.10ofbrace，暂时企稳在90.00以上，收盘在90.12,意味着美元短线反弹后可能会继续保持下跌的走势。如果美指今天反弹受阻在90.45之下，后市下跌的目标将会指向89.90—89.70。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.45—89.75Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23550---1.22500Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.40900---1.39400Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.96200---0.95300区间上限卖出，有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in110.900---109.700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.80350---0.79600Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit350Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.24750---1.23750Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1348.00—1334.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit7美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
白银：可以在17.150—16.800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 16:00 France1Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
② 16:30 Germany1Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
③ 17:00 eurozone1Monthly manufacturing industryPMIinitial value
④ 17:30 britain12Monthly unemployment rate, UK12Monthly unemployment benefit applicants, UK11Three months in a monthILOunemployment rate
⑤ 22:00 U.S.A11monthFHFAMonthly rate of housing price index
⑥ 22:45 U.S.A1monthMarkitmanufacturingPMI初值、美国1monthMarkitService industryPMIinitial value
⑦ 23:00 U.S.A12Annualized total monthly housing sales
⑧ 23:30 From the United States to1month19Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock