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NFX 品汇国际:美元修正过度下跌 反弹走势可能延续

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Market Review
  在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈触底后反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到90.82, 最低下跌到90.10, closing at90.54。欧美最高上涨到1.23230,最低下跌到1.21970, closing at1.22370
  继周一跌至3年低点后,美元处于复苏状态。美元在最近几个交易日走软,部分原因是市场预计欧洲央行今年将转而采取鹰派立场。周三公布的经济数据美国方面表现强于欧洲,这为美元带来支撑,美指一度最高触及90.83。此外,备受关注的加拿大央行利率决议如期揭开帷幕。加拿大央行如期宣布加息25个基点,在加息决定宣布后加元兑美元短线一度暴跌近130点,但随后很快拉升140点,短线波动幅度高达近270Points.
  欧洲公布的数据显示,欧元区12月消费物价通胀年率降至1.4%, and11Month is1.5%。整个欧盟的通货膨胀率为1.7%。这使得欧元/美元承压走低。然而,分析人士认为,最近的下滑更多的是“喘息”,而不是其上升趋势的终结。相反,美国今日公布的数据表现强劲。美国12月份工业产出月率增长0.9%On2017年第四季度达到8.2%,高于前一季度的降幅。今年以来,产出增长了3.6%, for2010年以来的最大年度增幅。
  欧洲央行(ECB)管理委员会委员诺沃特尼周三表示,欧元兑美元近期走强是帮倒忙。他的讲话鼓励了一轮对欧元的获利了结。欧洲央行政策会议将在下周举行。同时,欧洲央行副总裁冈斯坦西欧称,他不排除货币政策仍会继在很长一段时间内保持非常宽松。
从技术上来看,美指周三下跌在90.10之上受到brace,反弹受阻在90.85之下,收盘在90.54,意味着美元短线回调后继续扩大反弹空间的可能较大。如果美指下跌在90.50之上受到brace,后市反弹的目标将会指向91.00—91.20。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in91.20—90.50Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.22500---1.21300Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking through400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.38800---1.37700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.96900---0.96100区间下限买入,有效破位400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.900---110.800Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.80000---0.79100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.25000---1.24000Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1334.00—1322.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
  白银:可以在17.100—16.900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 08:30 Australia12Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
② 09:30 Released by the National Bureau of Statistics70Monthly Report on Residential Sales Prices in Major and Medium sized Cities
③ 15:00 China2017Throughout the yearGDP增速、中国2017Throughout the yearGDP总量、中国第四季度GDPthe annual rate
④ 21:30 U.S.A12月营建许可总数、美国1Monthly Philadelphia Federal Reserve Manufacturing Index
⑤ 21:30 From the United States to1month13Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week, United States12Annualized total monthly construction of new houses
⑥ 23:30 From the United States to1month12Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑦ undetermined 欧佩克公布月度crude oil市场报告
⑧ The next day00:00 From the United States to1month12Day and WeekEIACrude oil inventory
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