NFX 品汇国际：美元继续大跌非美涨势延

View All · Published on 2018-1-16 11:16:42

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Market Review
　　在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元继续呈大幅下跌的走势，美元指数最高上涨到90.94, 最低下跌到90.28, closing at90.42。欧美最高上涨到1.22960，最低下跌到1.21880, closing at1.22680。
　　美元多头继续跌跌不休之旅，以欧元和日元为首的非美货币则强势崛起。欧洲央行管委汉森最新发表的一席讲话给多头吃下“定心丸”，使得欧元备受鼓舞短线急剧扩大涨势。对于美元后市前景，有分析指出，美指跌破关键技术支撑，90关口恐将失守，而历史模式显示，美元指数恐将迎来长达7年的熊市，跌向70.805。
　　周一稍早公布的经济数据显示，欧元区贸易顺差升至8个月来最高水平，表明欧元升值并未影响当地企业的出口表现。同时欧元区经济继续强劲增长吸引大量投资者开始重新配置资产。这令美元面临较强的卖压挑战。
　　此外，投资者认为欧盟各国可能会寻求相对更好的退欧方案，这令英镑获得提振。而日本央行行长的讲话则表明该国经济复苏力道保持强劲，这令日元收获利好。
从技术上来看,美指周一受阻在91.00之下，最低下跌到90.28才有所企稳，收盘在90.42,意味着美元短线反弹后有可能继续保持下跌的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in90.80—90.15Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.23150---1.22050Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.38350---1.37400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.96750---0.95900区间上限卖出，有效破位400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.000---110.100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.80000---0.79200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.24650---1.23950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1344.00—1335.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
白银：可以在17.450—17.200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
（因马丁路德金日工商银行1month16日早2:00~4:00暂停账户能源业务）
① 15:00 Germany12monthCPIMonthly rate final value
② 17:30 britain12monthCPIMonthly rate, UK12Monthly Retail Price Index Monthly Rate
③ 21:30 U.S.A1New York Fed Manufacturing Index for the Month