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品汇国际:无视美国数据向好,美元再次破位下跌

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Market Review
  在上周五的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈大幅破位下跌的走势,美元指数最高上涨到91.94, 最低下跌到90.93, closing at90.97。欧美最高上涨到1.22180,最低下跌到1.20280, closing at1.21800
  备受关注的美国CPI与“恐怖数据”向好,随后联邦基金利率futures显示交易员认为美联储年内将加息三次的概率上升至41%,但美元指数涨势昙花一现,一度短线跳涨至91.50,随后很快回落跌破前低91.00,最低下跌到90.93。欧元和英镑等主要非美货币强势攀升,令美元承压。
  上周五公布的欧洲央行12月政策会议记录显示,欧洲央行决策者称,他们可能在2018年初重新考虑政策沟通立场。偏向鹰派的基调令欧元延续上周四涨势。投资者认为,如果欧洲经济能够保持强劲的话,不排除欧洲央行年内开始缩减购债规模的可能。
  有报导称,荷兰和西班牙对英国和欧盟保持尽可能紧密的联系持开放态度,有效缓解了市场对英国脱欧之后的担忧,英镑兑美元上周五盘中一度升至脱欧公投以来最高,这也拖累美元下挫。
从技术上来看,美指上周五反弹受阻在92.00之下,跌破前低91.75ofbrace,又跌破91.00整数关口加前低的brace, closing at90.97,意味着美元短线反弹后有可能继续保持下跌的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in91.30—90.60Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.22600---1.21400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.38000---1.36700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.97100---0.96400区间上限卖出,有效破位300Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in111.550---110.750Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.79400---0.78700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.25000---1.24000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1344.00—1332.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在17.350—16.150Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
(因马丁路德金纪念日纽交所休市一日)
① 18:00 eurozone11Monthly adjusted trade account
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