NFX Pinhui International:​美元终于反弹但前景仍不乐观

​Market Review

　　在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈大幅反弹的走势，美元指数最高上涨到92.40, 最低下跌到91.88, closing at92.37。欧美最高上涨到1.20520，最低下跌到1.19560, closing at1.19620。
　　美元指数在92关口上方维持高位交投。上周公布的非农就业报告表现疲弱，但未能改变美联储加息预期，本周多位美联储官员将发表讲话。技术上无论从中期还是长期来看，技术指标都发出警告，抛售过度拉伸，需要进行整合。不过，有图表显示，美元或正在形成看跌的头肩顶图型。另一方面，美元涨势也受到日内欧元承压回落的帮助。
　　上周五公布的欧元区12月消费者物价指数不及预期，这令投资者开始锁定获利，从而令欧元承压回落。同时，美国近期的经济数据表现情景，两相比较下，美元获得一定支撑。英镑兑欧元也获得提振，英国内阁重组部分缓解了国内的政治前景不确定性。
　　加拿大央行今日发布调查报告显示，加拿大经济前景保持强劲，这提升了1月会议上再度加息的可能性，但由于有迹象显示产能压力上升，劳动力短缺问题加剧，这令加元回吐了部分涨幅。
从技术上来看,美指周一回落在91.85之上受到brace，但反弹受阻在92.40之下，收盘在92.37,意味着美元短线回调后有可能继续保持反弹的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in92.75—92.05Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.20250---1.18950Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.36100---1.35300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98100---0.97500间下限买入，有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.350---112.650Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.78650---0.78000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.24550---1.23450Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1323.00—1315.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit3USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
　　白银：可以在17.250—17.000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 14:45 Switzerland12Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
② 15:00 Germany11月未季调贸易帐、德国11月季调后经常帐、德国11Monthly industrial output rate after quarterly adjustment
③ 15:45 France11Monthly trade account
④ 16:15 Switzerland11Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
⑤ 18:00 eurozone11Monthly unemployment rate
⑥ 19:00 U.S.A12monthNFIBSmall Business Confidence Index
⑦ The next day01:00 EIAPublish monthly short-term energy outlook report
⑧ The next day05:30 From the United States to1month5Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock