Market Review:
The United States announced on Friday12Non-agricultural employment increased in the month14.8万人,不及预期的增加1910000 people, previous value corrected to increase25.2Ten thousand people;12月失业率维持4.1%不变。投资者重点关注的薪资增速终于显露上升的势头!
北京时间周五(1month5Day)21:30美国劳工部公布了美国12月非农报告。美国12Increase in non agricultural employment after the monthly adjustment14.8万人,预期为增加1910000 people, previous value corrected to increase25.2Ten thousand people; United States12Monthly unemployment rate recorded4.1%,与预期和前值持平,维持在17年以来低位。
非农报告出炉后,美元指数短线下挫近30点,非美货币普遍上扬,英镑兑美元短线上扬至两日新高。同时,金银短线拉升,黄金短线上破1320关口,刷新日内新高。COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time21:30The trading volume within one minute is7989Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to11USD100mn
虽然行情不如预期却是获利的好时机,如果你还在亏损,那么是时候想想问题出在哪里了?哲宇老师对行情的分析以及进场点位把握的相当精准,不妨私信老师一起学习和探讨。
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​ 非农大幅利多黄金为什么涨幅有限?
哲宇认为因劳动力市场接近充分就业,美国12月就业增速放缓幅度大于预期,但12月平均每小时工资月率录得小幅回升,这将进一步支持美联储在今年3月加息。就业增速或将因税改法案获得提振,但提振效果有限。经济学家预计2018年年底失业率将降至3.5%,这将最终使得薪资增速加快提升,通胀强势拉升。另外,据路透预测美联储2018年将加息4次,多于点阵图的预期。非农报告公布后,美联储今年3The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is determined by67.5%Ascend to70.2%,6The probability of monthly interest rate hikes is determined by43.2%Ascend to45.7%。
美国国会议员们在休会两周后,返回国会山。税改计划尘埃落定之后,他们在2017年遗留的问题将逐一浮出水面,其中要面临的首要议题就是,如何避免政府在1month19日关门。去年12month21日,美国国会参议院和众议院分别通过了临时拨款法案,在最后关头避免了联邦政府于23日关门。当时这一临时法案可以让联邦政府运转至今年1month19日,为国会两党争取了更多时间讨论截至今年9At the end of the month2018财政当年余下预算。因此为了避免政府关门,国会必须在未来十余天内通过一项长期支出法案,或者是再次通过一项临时拨款法案,以维持短期开支,但这也意味着关于预算的重大事项决定将再度被搁置。
​===Gold long short single unraveling=== 市场上从来就是有人欢喜有人愁,既然有完美止盈的,就有亏损被套的。目前手中还有空单的朋友必然心急如焚。目前黄金多头强势,想要抄顶的朋友还是不要轻易尝试。这波多头可以看到1320附近,没有意外重大利空消息前,黄金继续回调做多。空单在手的朋友,建议减仓或者锁仓,等高点确立后再出多补空。这是针对仓位重的朋友而言的;仓位轻的朋友,哲宇建议短线操作盈利补亏,具体的还得视仓位情况而定! 1、1295Investment friends who are surrounded by short orders in the vicinity can stop losses in a timely manner if there is a pullback. It is impossible for a slow rise market to experience a major pullback, as it may cause you discomfort. Stay tuned in the future1306一线。若本周回调不破1298In the future market, we will actively see through the high points and cannot blindly carry orders. At the same time, we also need to adjust our strategies and methods in a timely manner to get out. 2、1285下方空单被套的投资朋友,如果你资金够大,仓位合适,哲宇建议回调关注1296Nearby, the market will not break the lockdown and go long. Continue to follow after the rise1300This position, if it continues to fall below1300If there is a short position, it is still a long market and it is not recommended to add positions without restrictions. 3、1270附近空单被套的投资朋友,目前亏损也算不小了,很多人可能一味的期望着回调,可以在行情小幅回调后出局部分空单,合理的仓位控制下轻仓追多,切不可因为盲目扛单而损失了多单盈利的机会,好机会不多大家好好把握。