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Shanghai and ShenzhenAthigh-Morning Meeting Summary20180102

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投资组合:2017year12月份银河月度组合收益率为-0.96%,弱于沪深300index1.58个百分点;中期组合收益率2.36%,强于HS300index1.74个百分点;长期组合收益率0.22%,弱于HS300index0.40个百分点。关注1月组合。1月的月度组合包括:金风科技(002202)、东杰智能(300486)、贵州茅台(600519)、水井坊(600779)、上汽集团(600104)、合力泰(002217)、九州通(600998)、宇通客车(600066)、北新建材(000786)、四维图新(002405)。

策略:临近春节,资金流动性紧张和市场风险偏好较低掣肘A 股。展望2018 年,我们认为在流动性和政策方面均无重大变化的情形下,未来短期A 股将延续小幅震荡整理的格局,中长期依旧维持乐观的预期,建议布局2017 年中央会议工作重点1)新兴消费,包括食品饮料、餐饮旅游和商贸零售;2)高新技术制造业,如新能源汽车、5G、人工智能等;3)环保、农业等受政策支持的相关行业。

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