Yiheng Lunjin:1.1-1.2黄金本周非农盛宴来袭，黄金会高开低走？空单解套良机

​​​Article Summary:1.2goldXAUUSD周二走势分析与操作建议;goldXAUUSD周二还会涨吗？1.2goldXAUUSD继续上涨，空单怎么解？黄金为什么连续暴涨？非农黄金走势怎么看？本周2018How to operate gold for the first time in the year without agriculture? What do you think of Friday's non farm data? Is Friday's non farm data bearish or bullish? Can the gold empty order lock order be breakeven?How can gold recover its losses last week?投资黄金有哪些操作技巧？黄金暴涨黄金XAUUSD空单怎么办？黄金XAUUSD空单被套如何解？



Last week's market review of gold:

       圣诞节假期之后，黄金价格延续前期的升势，进一步走高；周二黄金价格站上1280关口之后；周三盘中金价进一步走高最高触及1288.6dollar/盎司。眼下，市场对全球地缘政治风险的持续担忧以及美元疲软正提振黄金的吸引力，而黄金价格也不负众望，在圣诞节后强势突破1270/1280美元两大整数关口，触及近四周新高；周四黄金开盘1287.77，日间一路慢涨攻破90关口，随之站稳；周五早间亚盘开盘1294.35，依旧呈现出慢涨之态，到欧盘开盘时，黄金以站稳1297dollar/盎司，晚间短暂的回调趋势依然没能阻挡黄金上涨之势，一直到美盘，黄金一路高涨，势如破竹，连破2大阻力位1298-1300，最终敲开了千三的大门，一扫之前颓废之态，向人们展示出独属于自己王者魅力。亦-恒老师强调如果站稳1290上方还会继续上涨，建议1294附近做多周五成功1305止盈，下周整体趋势依然做多为主，黄金这一波上涨之前暴跌亦恒老师带学员从1295.1291,1274，1264的空单1250附近成功离场，本次又做多，可以说不管行情怎么走，我们依然都抓的住，依然稳健在这个市场获利，所以说只有走不出的趋势，没有抓不住的行情，交易更多的是顺势操作，顺势了剩余的交给市场。  

黄金国际消息面剖析：

本周，投资者需要密切关注北京时间周四凌晨美联储公布的12月份会议纪要，以及周五美国非农 21:30就业报告，

       本月第一个星期五晚间21:30，市场例行迎来重磅报告——非农。本次非农将揭示年底美国就业、失业率及薪资增速趋势。11月，美国失业率维持在17Annual low4.1%不变，就业新增人数录得22.8万人，薪资增速则仍然低迷。市场预计此次非农表现将会强劲，美国商业服务、制造业及医疗保健都录得良性增长。美国12月季调后非农新增就业人数料为18.9万人，预计失业率维持不变，工资月率料从0.2%微幅上升至0.3%。更多详情百度咨询亦-恒论金老师。



​亦恒认为，2018年全球风险事件将升温，主要分为以下三方面：

       一、全球地缘政治局势日益紧张，黑天鹅事件或将席卷投资市场。

       二、股市接连创下新高，VIX指标处于历史低点，2018年股市大概率会出现回调，因此大部分投资者将转向黄金市场，金价也可能因此大幅走高。

       三、数字货币的崩溃将给黄金市场带来新鲜血液。2017年比特币价格上涨超过1000%，2018年很难再延续如此凶猛的涨势，近期比特币价格从近20000美元闪崩至10000美元附近也证明了市场情绪的变化。2018年加密货币将面临更加严峻的挑战，而黄金也将从比特币市场的衰退中得到好处。

       综合以上分析亦-恒论金老师认为：从2016年初黄金似乎就已经进入了一轮长期牛市，现在正在1250美元附近进行筑底动作。从基本面来看，2018年通胀预计将持续上升，全球避险需求也将逐渐升温。此外，各项技术指标均给出较强的乐观信号。因此，2018年黄金很可能从当前水平大幅升值，迎来光芒闪耀的一年，2018年投资黄金的收益将会超越任何一个投资市场的平均收益。更多黄金走势请关注亦恒论金。



Technical analysis of gold:

       黄金本周整体呈现震荡的走强态势，周线收大阳线，周二延续多头走势，继续走强，强势上攻1280一线，站上1280一线，日线收中阳线，周三多头延续，运行慢涨逼空的行情，日线以小阳线报收，周四继续不破开盘价继续上行，上破1290关口，日线收中阳线，周五多头爆发，黄金强势上攻千三，收线成功站上千三关口，日线以大阳线报收。

       黄金从月线图来看，月线收探底压制黄金下行6Of1921reach1796的下降趋势线，企稳收阳，月线以探底大阳线报收，站稳千三关口，同时站上89均线，企稳10均线收阳，组成启明之星的K线形态，黄金月线偏向上行的概率大，操作上偏向月线级别的多头到来，关注下个月线对1320一线的突破，一旦K线实体突破站稳，黄金后市将会上破前期高点1357一线，亦-恒论金从指标来看，布林带有开口向上的迹象，同时连续三个月收线收在布林带中轨上方，企稳布林带中轨收阳，形成启明之星的K线形态，同时指标经过前期三个月的震荡蓄势，已经运行在低位，同时MACD的阳柱在放大，多头力量在加强，月线偏向上行的概率大。



​       4小时图上，黄金运行的是低点抬升，高点创新高的多头走势，4小时沿着10均线一路碎阳上行，多头控盘，操作上还是顺势继续跟进多单，回落以多为主，同时不要操作上不要去猜顶，下方以不破10均线继续做多上看，不过要注意上方两个节点，也就是1311and1328这两个节点的突破，破位1311将会直接进攻1328一线，操作上还是保持多头思路继续做多上看，只要顶部不出现见顶信号，黄金就要一路做多上看，而不是去抄顶，RSIHigh position turning head downwards,Stoch指标高位死叉，拐头向下，指标显示短线有调整，从目前极端行情来看，黄金调整的幅度亦-恒论金预计有限，黄金下周继续看涨的思路不变，下方关注1296and1286一线支撑位，上方关注1311and1328First line pressure level.



Golden Operation Strategy:

Empty order strategy:

黄金触及1310Short selling(买跌)十分之二仓位，止损1312, Objective1300Near.

Multi order strategy:

Gold Callback1300Go long(买涨)十分之二仓位，止损3Points, target1309。



​1.2黄金空单解套策略：

       1. stay1295附近的空单，后面只需要把握住回调的机会，亦-恒认为不出意外后面会承压回落，如果仓位不重可以于1302附近出局，后市能够依此位去布局多单，上看1310。

       2. 1285附近的空单，点位套的较深，这个点位是最尴尬的，砍了舍不得，反手最高又不敢。但亦-恒论金想告诉你，从目前的突破态势看，上涨幅度还会很大，不及时作出决定回造成更大的亏损，思路是回调进多，同样若是仓位不重，亦-恒论金建议在1300区域砍掉1285附近空单，反手追多看新高。近期不会回调！

       3. about1280下方空单，如果近期的慢涨过程中没有及时出局的话相信现在是被套处于锁单状态，亦恒论金相信目前你也是心力憔悴了，加上没有章法的胡乱操作，就容易陷入了一个恶性循环的局面，如果后市不知道该怎么把握可以咨询亦恒论金。



​Yi Heng's personal viewpoint:

       元旦之后，也就是1月份，就目前的情况来看，大趋势依然偏向于多头，亦-From my personal perspective, there is a high possibility that gold will continue to rise after breaking through the thousand three. However, where it will rise will be discussed later, and it may also be disrupted by news or other factors. After all, the only thing that remains unchanged in the market is change, perhaps touching1310It is not impossible for a sudden major correction to occur, and besides the technical aspect, the most influential factors on gold are also the news aspect and institutional crash factors.

       Don't tell me how much time I have, everyone-Heng Lun Jin is just because the current market is optimistic about a continuous rise, but it does not mean that bears have no hope. The following is also a commentary on the bullish and bearish factors by Heng Lun Jin:

       because2018We also need to consider factors from the Federal Reserve.2018Yellen officially stepped down. Powell followed Yellen's dove policy before, but after stabilizing his position, he suddenly spoke out to strengthen the US economy, which has a boosting effect on the US dollar2018The Federal Reserve will also raise interest rates, and the market will also be affected by the trend of gold due to interest rate hikes. If Powell followed the policies he had proposed, coupled with the certainty of interest rate hikes, gold would also have returned1200Nearby power.

       Yiheng believes that the recent market correction and long selling are still the most stable way, and the technical side shows that1300The resistance was very obvious, but yesterday gold surged and many friends stopped losing and were eliminated. also-Heng has repeatedly reminded everyone to take good measures to stop profits and losses, in order to avoid the situation of market reversal and short positions. Long positions are still a trend, with a pullback to long positions and a trend to single.



Yiheng Lunjin emphasized:

       How far a person can go depends on who they are walking with; How excellent a person is depends on what kind of friends they have around them; How much success a person can achieve depends on who gives them guidance. To give you a precise suggestion, it's better to give you a correct idea, because the news in the article has lag and timeliness, and the market is constantly changing, making it easy to lose money. What we need to do when reading the article is to learn . also-Teacher Heng is an analyst who enjoys studying the impact of news and technology on the trend of gold. For a long time, I have been tireless in this regard, as this is my major and I need to be responsible for my work and trust, as well as for Teacher Heng's students. After all, none of the students' money was brought by strong winds, which is also my responsibility. In order for us to learn these analytical ideas instead of blindly making orders based on suggestions, we believe through this learning and communication that soon, you won't have to rely on others and you will make your own orders!



This article discusses Jin (Wei) by Yi Heng-letterzyh168zz）Exclusive planning by analysts, please indicate the source for reprinting. The above content is for reference. Investment carries risks and caution is required when entering the market.