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Market Review
在周二的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈小幅震荡整理的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.40, 最低下跌到93.20, closing at93.26。欧美最高上涨到1.18780,最低下跌到1.18470, closing at1.18630。
周二美元兑主要货币基本持平,日本强劲的通胀数据并未掀起太大波澜,同时日本央行会议记录显示决策者仍倾向于坚持宽松货币政策。今日市场整体交投清淡,因圣诞和元旦假期中间还有许多金融中心保持休市。
备受关注的美国税改大戏终于落下帷幕。有分析指出,以史为鉴,美国刚刚通过的税收改革措施料将掀起美国企业海外资金的回流潮,这一趋势可能会提振美元,使得美元逆转今年的跌势,并在明年初对整个金融市场产生影响。不过,多数投行认为,美元涨势恐难以持续至2018年底,而美元反弹最直接的威胁则来自欧洲央行。
最新公布的数据显示,日本11月核心消费者物价连续第11个月上涨,同比上升0.9%,但市场未对此数据作出反应。尽管通胀率仍远离日本央行的2%目标,但数据向好依然表明经济稳步复苏将有望为通胀前景带来支撑。而10月会议纪要显示,日本央行大部分委员依然支持维持宽松政策。
从技术上来看,美指周二反弹受阻在93.40之下,回调在93.20之上受到支持,收盘在93.26,意味着美元短线有可能保持底部震荡整理的走势。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.50—93.10Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18900---1.18300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.34100---1.33300Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99300---0.98700间上限卖出,有效破位300Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.500---113.000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.77400---0.77000Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit200Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27500---1.26600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1290.00—1276.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit6美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在16.750—16.350Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 17:00 Switzerland12monthZEWInvestor confidence index
② 23:00 U.S.A11月成屋签约销售指数月率、美国12Monthly Conference Chamber Consumer Confidence Index
③ The next day05:30 From the United States to12month22Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock