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雷哲宇:12.14 加息完美落幕,你收获了什么?

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——晚间crude oilEIA数据利多油价为何不涨反跌,手上的多单还能拿吗?
Wednesday Beijing Time(12month13Day) Evening23:30United States Energy Information Administration(EIA)Published as of12month8Decrease in inventory of crude oil depot during the current week511.7Ten thousand barrels, continuous4周下滑,降幅远超预期的减少375.9Ten thousand barrels, the previous value is a decrease561万桶。数据公布后,美布两油窄幅震荡。但同时公布的数据显示截至12month8An increase in gasoline inventory for the current week566.4Ten thousand barrels, continuous5周增长,且上周美国国内原油产量增加7.310000 barrels to97810000 barrels/日,为历史新高。这两项数据的大幅利空,大幅打击了原油的多头,行情受此影响大跌油价跌破57美元大关,盘中低点一度触及56.5frontline.
——原油昨日周三行情回顾——
原油早间开盘于57.4一线,亚盘行情表现震荡上行格局,盘中高点给到57.8一下。午后欧盘上市,行情在盘初走弱下方跌至早间开盘起涨点,随后再次反弹上方触及57.8一线。晚间美盘上市,原油表现上涨无力,证明笔者早评分析的上方阻力在57.8一线,再次位置空一次,哲宇实仓于57.7进场空单,美盘如期下跌,空单止盈于57.2一线。晚间十一点半原油EIA数据如期公布,数据显示EIA库存利多原油,但是美国原油增加且是历史新高同时汽油库存增加,油价受此拖累下跌,笔者亦带实盘于57.3-57.2一线进场空单,成功止盈于56.8一下。日内操作算是大获全胜了。日线油价收盘于56.65一线,日线录得一根较大实体阴柱,油价延续了前一交易日的空势。
——原油日内行情走势预测——
目前技术面来看来看,日图布林带缩口运行,MA5均线拐头上行欲有与MA10均线交金叉上行之势,KThe line intersects with the Bolin Medium Rail Line,MACD快慢线呈死叉继续下行绿色动能二次放量,KDJ三线初交死叉下行,行情整体有一定的下行风险;4小时图上,布林带开口向外扩张,MA5Mean Square andMA19均线呈死叉下行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks of Bollinger,MACD快慢线交死叉下行绿色动能不断放量,KDJ三线呈死叉继续向下发散运行,油价短线还有进一步下行势能。
综合来看,原油受美国原油产量增加且增加量是历史新高及美国汽油库存增加连续5周增长拖累,原油在EIA利多下不涨反大跌,油价跌破57美元关口,行情整体空头趋势表现明显。日内操作上来看的话,笔者哲宇建议以反弹空为主,低多为辅。上方关注57.2One line of resistance, pay attention below56美元整数关口支撑。
——原油日内交易策略——
1Rebound57.2-57Near empty, stop loss0.5US dollars, target see56.5-56.3On the front line, breaking through and holding;
2、激进反弹56.8一线直接轻仓空,止损0.5US dollars, target see56.3-56On the front line, breaking through and holding;
3Downward weak break56Frontline available56-56.2One more time, stop loss4US dollars, target see56.8upper.
——美联储加息两委员投反对票,巨量买单推升goldreturn1250——
现货黄金周三(12month13日)在美联储公布加息决议之后短线宽幅震荡,之后强势上涨逾10美元,美市盘中高点上探至1255.40dollar/ounce,金价重返1250frontline.COMEXMost Active GoldfuturesContract in Beijing Time03:00The trading volume within one minute is5095Hand, the total value of the trading contract is close to7亿美元。白银暴涨1.9%,一度上破16美元关口,刷新一周高位。FOMC会议以7than2的投票结果宣布上调联邦基金利率目标区间25Bps to1.25%-1.5%,这是美联储自为2008年金融危机以来第五次加息,2017年内第三次加息。
——昨日周三黄金行情回顾——
昨日黄金早间开盘于1244一线,亚盘行情整体维持1245-1241区间内偏弱震荡。午后欧盘上市,盘初行情继续弱势势,低点一度触及1240一线。晚间美盘上市,受美联储加息临近黄金震荡走高,盘中高点触及1249一线。周四凌晨三点,美联储利率决议如期公布,美联储如期加息,短线在涨破1245后就不能再追空,特别是在美盘大量多单介入后,让回调的奢望再次破灭。不痛不痒的象征性加息25个基点,尘埃落定后黄金多头借助加息通胀不及2%的担忧以及税改的效应仍具有不确定性,直接一路走高!咱们1246Multiple orders in1255离场,斩获9美金!目前金价交投于1255frontline.
——黄金日内行情走势预测分析——
目前技术面来看,日图布林带三轨开口下行,MA5Mean Square andMA10均线呈死叉下行,KThe line intersects between the middle and lower tracks in BolinMA5Near the moving average,MACD快慢线死叉下行放缓绿色动能开始缩量,KDJ三线初交金叉向上发散运行,行情空头放缓有反弹迹象;4小时上,布林带开口向外扩张,MA5On the moving averageMA10均线交金叉上行,百度雷哲宇链接更多KThe line intersects with the Bollinger upper rail line,MACD快慢线呈金叉开口向上发散红色动能大幅放量,KDJ三线呈金叉继续向上发散运行,金价短线还有进一步上行势能。
综合来看,隔夜美联储公布加息决议显示美联储加息25个基点,符合市场预期。黄金受利空出尽影响止跌大涨重返1250一线,目前行情整体多头势能强势,日内操作上来看的话,笔者哲宇建议先顺势低多为主,高空为辅。上方关注1263-1265One line of resistance, pay attention below1250-1254Frontline support.
——黄金日内交易策略——
1Falling back1255-1254不破多单进场,破位看1250Multiple, stop loss0.3美金。目标1263-1265破位持有
2First touch1263-1265Empty order entry, stop loss0.3USD, target1255破位持有
以上分析由雷哲宇独家策划,转载请注明出处,以上内容供参考;投资有风险,入市需谨慎
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