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欧阳枫诚:四大皆空,黄金下方何处是尽头12.10遥遥无期待筑底

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  周末愉快吗?转眼一周又过去了,你是不是还在一天一天数着日子,看着马上又要过年了,当然这都是题外话。市场行情都是瞬息万变,如果你一直纠结在gold行情这块,你会特别难受,具体分析思路如何操作交给欧阳来做,有任何疑问也可以来找欧阳交流。我是欧阳枫诚,我的团队等待你的加入。
  
  —行情回顾,再遇假非农—
  
  首先我们要关注此次的非农数据,北京时间周五(12month8Day)21:30,美国劳工部公布了美国11月非农报告。数据显示美国非农人口增加,失业率创2000年来新低,各项数据显示美国经济逐渐好转,那么这将对黄金是一个不好的讯号,虽然非农夜没有如期走出大空行情,但是黄金后市也十分堪忧。
  

  此外关于美联储加息我们也要提起重视,本次的非农数据靓丽,美国11The monthly unemployment rate remains stable at4.1%,不太可能影响市场对美联储在下周会议上加息的预期,但可能影响美联储在2018年加息的力度。而一旦提高加息力度,美指的强力反弹也会再次打压黄金。所以整体看来,铭亘认为黄金由于非农行情的提前消化并没有进一步走低,但是后市依旧不容乐观。
  
  —加息将近后市如何?—
  
  加息步步逼近,于下周三正式公布,而目前市场来看黄金依旧是四大皆空,而在不断炒加息的预期影响下美国经济逐渐走强,黄金在此阴影下如坐火车般一路下行,自11month27High point1299起跌,期间只出现了一次反弹,反弹过后也是直接跳空低开,至今两周跌幅达到53美金,之前欧阳也分析过加息的影响,就是炒预期不断的利空黄金,加息过后黄金筑底回升,而这个底是1230still1200我们就不得而知,不过基本就在1200-1230这个区间筑底了。
  

  —下周如何?—
  
  目前来看黄金依旧处于空头的阴影下,也就是说我们方向找到了,只要坚定就好了。欧阳认为上方关注阻力1252,下方支撑就不要去看了,在加息的阴影下我们果断做空就好了,当然欧阳不建议低位追空,还是以反弹空为主。
  
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