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NFX 品汇国际:美元能否借“大非农东风”突破重阻力!

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Market Review
  在周四的foreign exchange市场上,美元继续保持反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.80, 最低下跌到93.49, closing at93.80。欧美最高上涨到1.18140,最低下跌到1.17730, closing at1.17750
  因是市场对美国将成功推行税收改革持乐观态度,而市场重拾对风险的偏好,全球股市在连续两天下跌后反弹。美国总统特朗普周三表示,他将承认耶路撒冷为以色列的首都,这一举动危及中东和平努力,并引发广泛谴责。周三,美元兑避险货币汇率下滑。但随着全球股市周四普遍反弹,投资者重新买入美元。目前市场静待即将公布的非农报告。
  美国参众两院人士昨日已经同意就税改法案举行会谈。有迹象显示税改法案的分歧有望得到解决,这令12month22日截至日前达成最终议案成为可能。同时外媒报道称,美国参议院投票通过临时拨款法案,政府得以正常运作到12month22日。这也暂时缓解了市场的担忧情绪,从而打压了日元等避险货币。
从技术上来看,美指周四回调在93.50之上受到brace,反弹受阻在93.80之下,收盘在93.80,意味着美元短线回调后可能会继续向上反弹。如果美指今天反弹在94.00If there is a hindrance below, the goal of future correction will be directed towards93.60—93.40。若美指跌破93.30的话,继续下跌到93.00even to the extent that92.80的可能性增大。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in94.00—93.40Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18300---1.17500Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.35300---1.34200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99700---0.99000间下限买入,有效破位350Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.450---112.450Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.75400---0.74700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28900---1.28100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
  gold: Can be found in the1252.00—1238.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在15.900—15.500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 07:50 日本第三季度实际GDP年化季率修正值、日本10Monthly trade account
② 10:00 China11Monthly trade account
③ 10:50 China11Monthly trade account in US dollars
④ 15:00 Germany10月未季调贸易帐、德国10Monthly adjusted current account
⑤ 15:45 France10Monthly industrial output rate
⑥ 17:30 britain10Monthly industrial output rate, UK10月制造业产出月率、英国10Commodity Trade Account after Monthly Adjustment
⑦ 21:30 U.S.A11Monthly unemployment rate, United States11Non agricultural employment population after rose adjustment
⑧ 23:00 U.S.A10月批发销售月率、美国12Initial monthly University of Michigan consumer confidence index
⑨ undetermined 美国通过新短期融资法案的最后期限
10 The next day02:00 From the United States to12month8Total number of oil drilling in the current week
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