Ouyang Fengcheng:12.8美方经济走强，黄金喋喋不休，何时到头？

　　晚上好，午间意外破位1260关键支撑，欧阳布局多单果断止损反手做多，1260空单并且在晚间初请数据前1256选择补仓，数据一出利空下探1253，获利出局。我是欧阳枫诚，我的团队等待你的加入。
　　
　　—goldfall drastically1260关键支撑，后市无力回天—
　　
　　午间意外跌破1260支撑，这意味着在税改加息的影响下，美方经济不断走强，美指也一改颓势不断上扬，黄金随之承压下跌。

　　

　　再看消息面，税改加息的问题我们在这不在多说，周三晚间公布的小非农就业表现靓丽，增加了周五非农良好预期，而今晚的初请失业金数据同样关乎到就业，数据显示利空，再次进一步影响非农预期。目前市场预期略高于前值，数据的公布也将反映美国国内经济及就业状况。目前可以得知，周五的非农数据有很大概率上会是利空，因此投资者操作上需要注意控制风险。
　　
　　—黄金跌跌不休，下方何时是尽头？—
　　
　　目前来看黄金1260跌破，短期再无强支撑让多头寄托，短线看1248-1250有一定支撑，而若是明日非农利空，下方目标将看1245，而中期来看在14号加息到来前黄金中期寄托在1230这个位置。

　　

　　再看技术面，日线图来看，日线下破1260reach1263reach1265的上升趋势线，同时今日日线下破了1123reach1204的长期上升趋势线，而且下破1204reach1357of61.8%Location, i.e1260区域，将会继续下探波段1204reach1357of76.4%位置，也就是在1240位置，同时今日成功下破盘整带，黄金全线偏空运行，同时布林带开口向下，布林带中轨拐头向下，StochLow level passivation of indicators,MACD阴柱放大，同时K线实体在不断放大，指标全线显示黄金偏空运行。
　　
　　同时税改的通过，加上加息的临近，这将会给短期黄金形成很强的压制，黄金多头短线将难有大作为，从浪行来看，黄金低点被突破，黄金将会运行自1357下跌以来的下跌5浪走势，目前黄金运行在下跌3WavelikeC浪下跌，；从4小时图来看，黄金运行的是一个极端下跌行情，沿着10均线一路走低，黄金高点一路走低。低点不断创新低的空头走势不变，操作上保持逢高做空的主思路不变，后市关注上方1260-1262一线压力位，以及下方1250-1240-1230First line support position.

　　

　　而尾盘操作上依托短线支撑1250可做一波短多，看回调，止损1247Upper resistance1258-1260，择机出局即可。
　　
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