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Market Review
在周二的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈小幅反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.49, 最低下跌到93.04, closing at93.38。欧美最高上涨到1.18770,最低下跌到1.18010, closing at1.18150。
美国周二公布的一连串数据表现不佳,10The monthly trade deficit widened to487Billion US dollars, and11monthMarkitService industryPMIandISMThe non manufacturing index decreased to54.5and57.4,所有数据均低于预期。其他基本面消息方面,美国众议院规则委员会表示,众议院将在周三就短期融资法案进行投票。美国众议院议长瑞安表示,将有大多数票能支持通过临时融资方案,正与其他议员讨论政府短期支出法案的终止日期。
尽管美元在上周跌至两个月低位后收复了部分失地,但整体走势依然偏弱,美元明年进一步上涨受限。若美元继续下跌最大的受益方可能是欧元,预计明年欧元/美元将升至1.3,这将成为2014year9月来新高。
由于英国首相特雷莎梅周一未能达成一项协议,从而暂时不能启动英国脱欧后与欧盟自由贸易关系的谈判。市场普遍预期脱欧谈判恐陷入僵局,这令投资者开始削减英镑多头头寸,周二英镑缩减涨幅。
从技术上来看,美指周二回调在93.00之上受到brace,反弹受阻在93.50之下,收盘在93.38,意味着美元短线回调后可能会继续向上反弹。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.60—93.10Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18600---1.17800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.34900---1.33800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99200--0.98500区间下限买入,有效破位35Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112.850---112.350Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76400---0.75800Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27250---1.26450Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1275.00—1258.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在16.300—15.900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 08:30 澳大利亚第三季度GDPthe annual rate
② 16:15 Switzerland11monthCPIMonthly rate
③ 21:15 U.S.A11monthADPEmployment numbers
④ 23:00 Bank of Canada Announces Interest Rate Resolution
⑤ 23:30 From the United States to12month1Day and WeekEIAcrude oilstock