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Market Review
在周一的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈小幅反弹的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.36, 最低下跌到93.04, closing at93.19。欧美最高上涨到1.18780,最低下跌到1.18290, closing at1.18550。
受美国参议院上周末通过税改方案提振,美元指数维持高位徘徊,但由于美联储升息前景未显著改善且国会面临政府停摆危险等一系列问题,涨势受限。参众两院目前已经通过了各自版本的税改议案,将从本周开始协商两份议案之间的分歧。
另一方面,美国政局的忧虑情绪或也将限制美元的涨幅。前国家安全顾问弗林目前已经承认控罪,为特朗普政府中的首位官员。特别检察官穆勒正在就俄罗斯干预美国大选进行调查。同时投资者还担心美国税改并无法对美国经济成长带来太大影响。
本周投资者的关注焦点是即将公布的11月非农报告,这是美联储召开下次政策会议前的最后一份就业报告,目前市场已经基本消化了再度加息的预期。针对明年加息前景,当前普遍的看法是美联储将加息略超过两次。
从技术上来看,美指周一跳空高开,反弹受阻在93.40之下,回调在93.00之上受到brace, closing at93.19,意味着美元短线回调后可能会继续向上反弹。如果美指今天回调在在93.00—93.05之上受到brace,后市反弹的目标将会指向93.35—93.50。若美指跌破92.80ofbrace,继续下跌到92.50的可能性增大。美指今天反弹只有站稳在93.50之上,短线才能继续扩大反弹的空间,并将反弹的目标指向93.80—94.10. Today, the short-term resistance of the US Index is93.30—93.35Short term important resistance93.50—93.55。今天美指短线bracestay93.00—93.05,短线重要bracestay92.80—92.85。
[Trading Strategy]
美元指数:可以在93.50—93.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit20Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18800---1.18100Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.35350---1.33550Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99100---0.98100区间下限买入,有效破位400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112.950---112.150Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76300---0.75600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.27300---1.26600Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at one point, with the target at the lower limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1280.00—1272.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损,目标在区间的上限。
白银:可以在16.500—16.200Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150美元止损,目标在区间的上限。