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Market Review
在周三的foreign exchange市场上,美元呈反弹受阻后回落整理的走势,美元指数最高上涨到93.44, 最低下跌到92.99, closing at93.17。欧美最高上涨到1.18830,最低下跌到1.18170, closing at1.18620。
美元指数在短暂狂欢过后转而下滑,尽管基本面释放出三大利好因素,但美元多头依然一蹶不振。有分析指出,美债收益率趋平正在发出明确的卖出美元信号。此外,美国国会推动税改议案也存在着不确定性,这令美元看涨人气遭受打压。
美元走弱为油价提供了一定支撑。周三,在美国第三季度GDP被上修后,美元一度扩大涨幅。同时美联储主席耶伦在国会的证词中称,她对美国经济稳步增长的前景感到满意,其证词同时淡化了金融不稳定的风险。不过这并未抵消市场对税改不确定性的忧虑情绪。
另一方面,消息人士指出,英国在脱欧问题上已经逐步接近欧盟要求,这为英镑带来一定支撑。但一些关键条件的分歧依然存在,这令英镑涨幅受限。此外,油价继续走低令加元兑美元跌至近四周低点。
从技术上来看,美指周三回调在93.00之上受到brace,反弹受阻在10日均线之下,收盘在93.17,意味着美元短线回调整理以后仍然有向上反弹的空间。如果美指今天回调在92.95—93.00之上受到brace,后市反弹的目标将会指向93.40—93.65。如果美指今天回落跌破92.80的话,汇价继续下跌到92.50的可能性就要增大了。今天美指短线阻力在93.35—93.40Short term important resistance93.60—93.65。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in93.40—93.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit25Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.18900---1.18200Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.34700---1.33600Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.98650---0.98150区间下限买入,有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in112.200---111.400Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.76050---0.75500Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit300Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28800---1.28100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range. gold: Can be found in the1290.00—1278.00Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit8USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
白银:可以在16.800—16.400Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 08:01 britain11monthGfkConsumer confidence index
② 09:00 China11Monthly official manufacturingPMI
③ 15:00 britain11monthNationwideMonthly rate of housing price index
④ 15:45 France11monthCPIMonthly rate
⑤ 16:00 Switzerland11monthKOFEconomic leading indicators
⑥ 16:15 Switzerland10Monthly actual retail sales annual rate
⑦ 16:55 Germany11Unemployment after quarterly adjustment, Germany11Unemployment rate after quarterly adjustment
⑧ 17:00 欧佩克第173届大会开幕式召开,参与者为所有欧佩克成员国代表及与会记者
⑨ 18:00 eurozone10Monthly unemployment rate, Eurozone11monthCPIAnnual rate initial value
10 19:00 欧佩克第173届大会,欧佩克秘书长及各成员国石油部长或能源部长召开闭门会议
⑪ 21:30 加拿大第三季度经常帐、美国至11month25Number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the current week
⑫ 21:30 U.S.A10月个人支出月率、10Monthly CorePCEMonthly rate of price index10Monthly CorePCEAnnual rate of price index
⑬ 22:00 欧佩克成员国和非成员国代表召开第三届联合会议
⑭ 22:45 U.S.A11Month ChicagoPMI
⑮ 23:30 From the United States to11month24Day and WeekEIANatural gas inventory
⑯ The next day01:00 美联储侯任主席鲍威尔在“金融创新和宏观审慎政策”会议上讲话
⑰ The next day01:30 美联储金融监管副主席夸尔斯就“支付系统”发表讲话
⑱ The next day02:00 2017yearFOMC票委卡普兰参加一房地产委员会活动的问答环