Crossing the Sea 2017year11month21day(Gold)

Crossing the Sea

2017

year

11

month

21

day

Focus this week:
11month21day(Tuesday)
U.S.A10Monthly Housing Sales

11month22day(Wednesday)
U.S.A10Monthly rate of durable goods orders
Number of weekly initial claims for unemployment benefits in the United States
U.S.A11Final Value of the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index for the Month

11month24day(Friday)
U.S.A11monthMarkitcomprehensivePMIinitial value
U.S.A11monthMarki制造业购PMIinitial value
U.S.A11monthMarki服务业购PMIinitial value



Important economic data released today:  
17：30 britain10Monthly net borrowing from public sector(PSNB)‧forecast66.00Billion‧Previous value53.26Billion
17：30 britain10Shortfall in monthly public sector revenue and expenditure(PSNCR)‧Previous value112.05Billion
19：00 britain11Monthly Industrial Alliance(CBI)Total industrial order difference‧Predict positive3‧Negative front value2
21：30 Canada9Monthly wholesale trade rate‧forecast+0.3%‧Previous value+0.5%
23：00 U.S.A10Annual sales rate of monthly completed houses‧forecast54210000 households‧Previous value53910000 households
23：00 U.S.A10月成屋销售月率‧forecast+0.7%‧Previous value+0.7%



News of the Week
Monday/特朗普宣布朝鲜为支持恐怖主义国家，并将扩大制裁
耶伦将在鲍威尔宣誓就任下任FED主席后辞去理事职务
U.S.A10月领先指标上升1.2%



11month20day
LondongoldMorning order price:1292.35
London gold afternoon fixing price:1286.20


Today's Introduction
美元受到美债收益率上升的提振，两年期美债收益率隔夜触及九年高位1.755%。美国公债收益率上扬归因于投资者消化美联储继续升息的预期、
以及美国财政部料将增加发债--以短期和中期债券为主。美元走高的另一原因是，德国总理默克尔未能组建三方执政联盟，使德国陷入政治危机，
拖累欧元走低。在亲商的自由民主党(FDP)退出谈判后，默克尔旋即表示她将告知德国总统无法组建联合政府。默克尔所在的保守党派在9月的大
选中胜出，但获得的席位比上次大选减少。



XAU London Gold - 金价千三关口前止步

金价于周一回挫后，周二早盘稍作持稳于1280水平。特朗普将朝鲜重新列入支持恐怖主义的国家名单，提高了黄金的避险吸引力。美国总统特朗普
周一将朝鲜列入支持恐怖主义国家名单，此举允许美国扩大对朝鲜的制裁，并有加剧朝鲜半岛紧张局势的风险。美国联邦储备理事会(FED)主席耶
伦周一称，一旦美联储下任主席提名人鲍威尔获确认及宣誓就职后，她将辞去美联储理事职务。另一边厢，德国总理默克尔在组建三方执政联盟的
谈判破裂后表示，她倾向于重新举行大选，而非组建少数派政府。但德国总统对各政党表示，他们应对选民负责，尝试组建一个新政府。

从技术图表可见，现阶段金价正陷入三角型态的末段区域，至今下底及上顶分别位于1271and1288美元，上望较大目标先为10月中旬高位1306Horizontal,
随后较大阻力则预估为1316and100Monthly average line1336美元。下方支持回看125Balance moving average1277and1266水平，进一步则看至1240Horizontal.

London Gold11month21day
Predicting early wave amplitude:1266 – 1282
Resistance level:1288 – 1301 – 1316
Support bit:1260 – 1240 – 1230

SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings:
10month30Day -850.77ton
10month31Day -850.77ton
11month1Day -849.59ton
11month2Day -846.04ton
11month3Day -845.75ton
11month6Day -845.46ton
11month7Day -844.27ton
11month8Day -843.09ton
11month9Day -843.09ton
11month10Day -843.09ton
11month13Day -843.39ton
11month14Day -843.39ton
11month15Day -843.39ton
11month16Day -843.39ton
11month17Day -843.39ton
11month20Day -843.39ton

12Monthly goldfuturesDue date:12month27day
12Monthly goldoptionDue date:11month27day

Global Official Gold Reserve:
(Data source: World Gold Council(WGC), updated on2017year11month2day)

Global:33499.6ton
U.S.A(1)：8133.5ton
Germany(2)：3373.7ton
IMF(3)：2814.0ton
Italy(4)：2451.8ton
France(5)：2435.9ton
China(6)：1842.6ton
Russia(7)：1778.9ton
Switzerland(8)：1040.0ton
Japan(9)：765.2ton
Netherlands(10)：612.5ton

European Central Bank(12)：504.8ton
britain(17)：310.3ton
Hong Kong(92)：2.1ton



XAG London Silver - 银价三角末段争持

银价近月处于窄幅区间运行，顶部大致位于17.30水平，底部约于16.50。此外，一延伸自今年七月的上升趋向线则位于16.80美元，视为较近支持
依据，需留意若跌破此区或有着初步下试倾向，较大支持见于16.00and15.50美元。至于向上延伸较大阻力则料为18.00and18.40USD.

London Silver11month21day
Predicting early wave amplitude:16.50 – 17.50
Resistance level:18.00 – 18.40
Support bit:16.00 – 15.50

iShares Silver TrustSilver holdings:
10month30Day - 9926.85ton
10month31Day - 9926.85ton
11month1Day - 9926.85ton
11month2Day - 9922.58ton
11month3Day - 9922.58ton
11month6Day - 9922.58ton
11month7Day - 9893.21ton
11month8Day - 9893.21ton
11month9Day - 9893.21ton
11month10Day - 9893.21ton
11month13Day - 9893.21ton
11month14Day - 9893.21ton
11month15Day - 9893.21ton
11month16Day - 9893.21ton
11month17Day - 9893.21ton
11month20Day - 9893.21ton



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Emperor Financial Group Zongheng Huihai Analysis Department
(The above column content is the author's personal professional opinions and is sincerely for readers' reference; I would like to remind readers that financial market volatility is unpredictable and they must be cautious of risks)