NFX 品汇国际：组阁变数影响未退，欧美承压回落

Market Review
　 在周一的foreign exchange市场上，美元呈低位反弹的走势，美元指数最高上涨到94.10, 最低下跌到93.58, closing at94.07。欧美最高上涨到1.18080，最低下跌到1.17230, closing at1.17310。
　　欧元在周一亚洲早盘大幅下跌后又大幅反弹，短暂突破1.18关口后，再一次被打回原形。有报道称，自由民主党表示他们将支持少数党政府，这令欧元重燃涨势。除此之外，德国以及欧洲的经济基本面依然强劲，这也令欧元受到支撑。
　　在周日举行的组建联合政府谈判破裂后，德国将面临政治上的不确定性。有报道称，谈判破裂导致欧元汇率下跌，欧美一度跌至1.17200水平，但随后反弹，突破1.18关口，并在一段时间内保持在这一水平上方。欧洲最大经济体的政治家们一直在试图组建一个所谓的牙买加联盟，这意味着德国总理默克尔所在的保守基民盟，自由民主党和绿党三方组建联盟。
　　德国商业银行分析师指出，德国联合组阁谈判破裂确实是欧元的一个隐患，但强劲的欧元区经济将维持市场对欧元的需求。近期欧元走强可能是因欧元区经济数据表现积极，推动了市场对结束宽松政策的长期预期。即使德国出现少数党政府或重新选举，也无法改变这一情况。
从技术上来看,美指周一回调在93.55之上受到brace，反弹受阻在94.10之下。收盘在94.07,意味着美元短线下方支持较强。还会有进一步的反弹的空间。
[Trading Strategy]
US dollar index: can be found in94.30—93.70Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit30Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
Euro/USD: can be used in1.17800---1.16900Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, with the target at the lower limit of the range.
GBP/USD: can be used in1.32800---1.31900Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Ruilang: You can find0.99600---0.98900区间下限买入，有效破位300Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
USD/Japanese yen: can be used in113.000---112.100Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit400Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
AUD/USD: can be used in0.75650---0.75350Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit150Point stop loss, the target is at the upper limit of the range.
USD/CAD: Can be used in1.28500---1.27700Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit40Stop loss at a single point, with the target at the upper limit of the range.
　　gold: Can be found in the1282.00—1270.00Buying at the lower limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit5美元止损，目标在区间的上限。
白银：可以在17.050—16.700Sell at the upper limit of the range, effectively breaking the limit0.150USD stop loss, targeting the lower limit of the range.
Today's Key Financial Data and Events
① 08:30 The Reserve Bank of Australia announces11Monthly Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
② 15:00 Switzerland10Monthly trade account
③ 19:00 britain11monthCBIIndustrial order difference
④ 21:30 Canada9Monthly wholesale sales rate
⑤ 23:00 U.S.A10Annualized total monthly housing sales
⑥ The next day05:30 From the United States to11month17Day and WeekAPIcrude oilstock