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Ouyang Fengcheng:11.6黄金山雨欲来风满楼,税改加息步步紧逼

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Ouyang has been in this market for some years. Ouyang has always adhered to the principle of treating people with sincerity and strict self-discipline. Ouyang is not the best, but he must be the most hardworking. Of course, what is indispensable is the trust of all my friends. With you, I can walk so firmly. To borrow a sentence, if you win, I will accompany you to conquer the world. If you lose, I will never give up and accompany you to rise again. Thank you all for taking the time to read my article. I hope it will be helpful to you. I am Ouyang Fengcheng.
  
  Message interpretation:
  
  本周风险事件众多,美联储接班人靴子落地,税改议案面世,及非农数据公布后。美元基本面不确定性得到释放,而美联储年底加息预期高企,其他主要央行立场偏鸽,使得美元周五收盘前已逼近95关口。但鉴于英镑前车之鉴,投资者还需警惕年底加息预期被市场消化后,明年美联储加息路径的走向。目前而言,鲍威尔基本将延续耶伦任期内主张的货币政策,美联储将进一步关注通胀问题。
  

  而低通胀问题在当下的时代背景下,似乎已很难用传统的经济理论来解释。结合各大主要央行对于通胀的判断均趋于保守,低通胀或许已经是潜在的黑天鹅之一。此外,特朗普将于下周出访亚洲。他已明确表示,亚洲之行,将针对朝鲜问题以及贸易问题。因此,朝鲜半岛局势将再度受到市场关注。是否会引发避险情绪回暖,则还需看事态发展而定。
  
  goldTrend analysis:
  

  周线上看,黄金依旧未能走出弱势格局,录得三连阴,黄金后市依旧不乐观。日线级别,数据还是双边多空矛盾,行情反复行情,日线连续两根收阳都未能站稳1280一线,收两根上引线阳线,晚间美盘开盘小时线又双针探顶迹象,给出强烈下跌的信号,美国经济在缩表。一阴又要吞掉前面几个交易日的震荡反弹的碎阳了,后面还是继续去考虑测试1262-1260的支撑。美元周线整体强势之下,黄金还是难有强势的表现。
  
  Analysis of Gold Operations:
  
  欧阳认为日后黄金不容乐观,日后还有税改以及美联储的加息,这都是大幅利空的消息面,而且上方1282-1285阻力强劲,后续阻力还有1290以及千三大关,目前来看在黄金没有上破1295的动能之前,欧阳个人还是一个看空的趋势,而后市黄金下破1260之后黄金后市防守点只剩下整数关口,也就是说若是1260下破后市可能直面千二关口。
  

  再回到本周,对于本周的走势,欧阳认为周初短线上反弹依旧会显弱势,所以不适合做解套操作,预计反弹幅度在1272附;但大趋势反转空头下行空间有限,1260低点支撑没那么容易突破,一旦1260上方低点确认后市必然强势反弹拉升,重回1275上方不难!所以这里反而是一个不错的地点确认出空补多解套机会!
  
  周末并无重要消息面放出,也就是说今日开盘大几率平开,那么操作上可依托1264为止损位做多,先看1272First line, break through to see1276。空单我们等到1275附近再入场即可,止损放在1281,1280不破可加仓空,看1270下方。多单解套方案在之前的文章(欧阳枫诚:11.4非农诱多冲高回落,晚间如何?)中已经给出,在此便不再赘述。
  
  Message from Ouyang:
  
Ouyang spends every day with his friends-Circle update trend analysis and operational ideas. Those who need to assess their strength can go and see it. Those who need to see suggestions can go and see it on their own, without any fees (thank those investors who appreciate it at the bottom of the article). Once you have considered it, follow the real offer operation. If you feel that I cannot help you or have any questions, you can continue to investigate to avoid wasting everyone's time. After all, time is precious and not wasted.
  
What we do is investment, with the purpose of making money, not speculation, so we must have a reason to operate. Otherwise, it will only becomeDUBo, we must take advantage of the situation, make stable profits, seize opportunities, and make steady profits. This is the true way to win in investment! Investment friends, if you encounter any problems in your investment, you can find Ouyang, and Ouyang will take you to make a profit first20%Talk about cooperation again!
    风险提示:以上内容仅代表作者欧阳枫诚(微信:13100638615)Personal opinions do not provide any express or implied warranties regarding the accuracy, reliability, or completeness of the content contained; Investment carries risks, so caution is necessary when entering the market. Operate accordingly and bear the risk yourself!

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