Vantage FX万致：英镑兑美元11month1Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks

View All · Published on 2017-11-1 17:31:37

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　　丰业银行：
GBP/美元上日英国10monthGfk消费者信心指数如预期一致。目前市场等待周四的英国央行会议。英镑在周四的英国央行政策决定前依旧受到良好支持，但目前英国央行的升息25个基点的收紧政策或多或少已被充分消化，而英国退欧的风险仍是对前景的一个明确限制。英国央行将不得不采取行动，并释放鹰派论调以维持对英镑的支持。
　　大华银行：
GBP/美元：中性，短线下滑可能延续至1.3025/30报告称，尽管英镑/美元昨天收于高位，但其潜在基调仍然显得疲弱，预计将会进一步下跌，并迈向1.3025/30支撑区。上行方面，只有汇价持续站稳于1.3240上方才表明当前的温和下行压力已经减轻。
　　Deltastock：
GBP/美元：日内走势偏向看多，升破1.3220后有望进一步上测1.3280，之后的目标看向1.3340高位。不过更大范围内汇价依然面临新出现的卖压打击，重启跌势后恐下探1.2760。日内下方关键支撑位于1.3150。
　　巴克莱资本：
Bank of England11月决议将再回购利率提升25Point to0.50%，但维持资产购买规模4350亿英镑不变，在此提振英镑将上涨;货币政策生命中，其料消除市场认为此次加息为一次性的预期，并鼓励市场计价其将逐步展开加息周期，引发短端利率卖压并推高英镑。基于此，建议本周买入英镑兑美元。
　　Vantage FX万致观点：
　　GBP/USD：英国央行可能加息的预期继续提振英镑走势，英镑昨日延续强势反弹，当前汇价站稳1.3200关口，技术形态位于20日均线之上，短线动能指标转强，操作上以低多为主。

Upper pressure

1.3300, lower support1.3200。

Vantage FX万致：英镑兑美元11month1Analysis and Trend Forecast of Foreign Exchange Trading in Japanese Investment Banks718 / author:vfxlinda / PostsID:1052092

　　Event discussion:

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Time Importance Index Content Pre Value(Before correction)Detailed explanation of predicted value published values

04:30Last week in the United StatesAPIcrude oilInventory changes(10000 barrels)(to1027)51.9-257.5-509
04:30Last week in the United StatesAPIChanges in refined oil inventory(10000 barrels)(to1027)-494.9-245-310.6
19:00Last week in the United StatesMBA30年期固定抵押贷款利率(to1027)4.18%Waiting
20:15U.S.A10monthADP就业人数变动（千人）135.4200Waiting
21:45U.S.A10monthMarkit制造业采购经理人指数终值54.554.5Waiting
22:00U.S.A9月营建支出(Monthly rate)+0.5%-0.2%Waiting
22:00U.S.A10monthISMManufacturing Price Payment Index71.567.5Waiting
22:00U.S.A10monthISM制造业产出指数62.2Waiting
22:00U.S.A10monthISM制造业产出指数62.2Waiting
22:30Last week in the United StatesEIARefinery equipment utilization rate(to1027)87.8%88.4%WaitingLearn moreforeign exchange交易知识点！外汇保证金_Foreign exchange margin trading_外汇保证金是什么（www.vantagefx.com.cn/jiaoyirumen/x17083101）
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