欧阳枫诚：市场降温，央行加息概率再升10.11Analysis of Gold Operations

　　preface:
　　

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　　Interpretation of message surface：
　　


　　gold价格在昨日冲高至1294.13后稍稍回落，小幅跌落1290。本周三(10month11day)亚市早盘，黄金维持1286-1292区间调整，截至欧阳撰稿时，金价运行于1289Above. Federal Reserve9月会议纪要将在北京时间周四(10month12day)02:00正式出炉，美联储决策者上个月的会议上仍预计今年还将再加息一次，这次公布的会议纪要将呈现政策会议的讨论内容，或将显示本次加息是还不确定，还是板上钉钉。美联储主席耶伦在9月下旬曾表示，虽然在通货膨胀率低的情况下，不确定性很高，但央行最有可能的策略是继续加息。她并补充说“在通货膨胀回到2%之前，保持货币政策不变是不谨慎的。”

　　

　　朝鲜地缘政治紧张局势目前仍影响着金价的走势，此前市场流传朝鲜将会再度试射弹道导弹的消息，昨日又是朝鲜劳动党建党纪念日，投资者对于朝鲜将做出新挑衅行为的预期高涨，不过最终没有出现加剧半岛紧张局势的事情。欧洲方面，加泰罗尼亚自治区主席普伊格蒙特建议将独立公投效力推迟数周，这使得欧洲陷入混乱的风险暂时消退。这些也导致了金价的回落。
　　


　　Gold Technology Analysis:
　　


　　黄金小时图来看目前受阻于前期顶底转换位出现小幅回调，但仍然是多头趋势中。凌晨的回落也仅仅是短期的调整，黄金最终还是录得实体小阳柱K线，当前来说日线已是3连阳的形态表现，且昨日的强势也是进一步延续势头，不仅收复了黄金周的跌势，而且也是进一步打破了黄金的高点，因此MA5andMA10均线也都是一个金叉的勾头上扬的走势排列，由此趋势来看，欧阳认为黄金在日内还是有进一步的偏强上行趋势。

　　

　　但是随着周初的涨势，今日黄金如若继续上破，必将关注布林带中轨所在的压制点，此线上破方可继续上看。综合来看欧阳认为黄金目前的走势非常明确的上涨趋势，日内依托下方支撑一线进行多头操作，不破4小时周期均线支撑，回调就是进场多单的机会，日内建议逢低做多。
　　
　　Analysis of Gold Operations:
　　
　　就目前来看下方1285支撑强劲，随之上移至1287一线，那么我们可以在这个位置多单介入，若1285不破加多，止损我们放在1283Target Look1291上方，而空单目前来看上方阻力随时可能突破，建议逢高轻仓即可，也就是说可以在1292附近或者1295下方轻仓介入，不破1295补仓即可，止损3US dollars, look at the target1288Near.

　　

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