WTI原油空头能否绝地反击？卢金迎10.13Analysis of the trend of spot gold and crude oil market and its solution

The market is like an ocean, and you are just a small boat in the ocean. A ship sailing in the sea requires a captain. Without good navigation, how can you navigate the vast market with ease? The speed at which you handle emotions is the speed at which you move towards success! If you can't control yourself and are still frantically making orders without direction, please stop and don't joke with your funds! If you have already lost a lot and don't know what to do, please control yourself and don't do whatever you want with your account! For those who make money, please remind yourself that it's safe to drop your bags and be cautious of profit taking! There are also those who follow off the market, please don't think it's a pity that the market hasn't been done. Just wait and see and don't have any regrets. Recently, the market has fluctuated a lot, and there are many friends who have made money, and there are also many friends who have suffered significant losses. Find Lu.The teacher has the opportunity to verify the current guidance strength, making you believe in this market and have hope for yourself.
　　
Monday（10month12日），亚市早盘，黄金价格未能延续上周五的涨幅，小幅下跌至1921.70dollar/盎司。上周五，因美元普遍走软，加之避险情绪对买家有利，黄金价格升至9month21日以来的最高水平。然而，最近有关美国财政刺激、英国脱欧和冠状病毒的消息对金价的进一步上涨构成了挑战。但由于缺乏催化剂以及美国股市的长周末期限制了下行势头。
　　
　　中国人民银行限制汇率
　　
　　离岸人民币在早盘交易中下跌，此前中国人民银行通过降低做空人民币的难度来抑制人民币走强。上周五，人民币汇率飙升1.4%, creating13年多来的最大涨幅。10month10日，中国央行发布声明，自2020year10month12Starting from today, the foreign exchange risk reserve ratio for forward foreign exchange sales business will be reduced from20%Downgrading to0，这是继2018year4月央行将远期售汇业务的外汇风险准备金率从0Upregulated to20%后，再次恢复至0。周一开盘，人民币/美元下跌约0.6%，而美元兑主要货币则走高。
　　
　　从需求来看，世界黄金协会表示，9月全球黄金ETF总持仓创新高，全球黄金ETFcontinuity10个月录得净流入。在投资需求的支撑下，今年以来全球黄金ETF的净流入达1003Tons, increasing total holdings to3880Tons or2350亿美元的纪录新高。三季度全球黄金ETF总持仓增幅达7%。北美地区仍占据主导，但期间亚洲黄金ETF市场表现则更为亮眼，总持仓上升17%。欧洲和其他地区的黄金ETF总量同期分别增长3%and9%。
　　
Gold trend analysis:
　　
　　黄金技术面分析：上周黄金整体走了一个反转的行情，周初测试1920阻力后大幅下跌，周中宽幅震荡，周五强势上攻，打破了依托2075为高点的下降趋势线的阻力也打破了1920的强弱分界线阻力，收盘在1920之上，加上周线持续未能跌破布林带中轨的支撑，短期市场从弱势下跌重返强势格局之中！从周五低点1893附近拉升到了今日目前为止的高点1933USD,40美元的强势上涨行情，日线收盘中阳线，站稳1900整数关口并突破关键三角趋势压力，短期存在上涨延续动能，本周卢金迎认为会继续震荡走高，但是要注意市场的节奏，高位不追涨，关注低吸机会。
　　
　　从技术面来看，日线三连阳，并且上周五收出了37美金的大阳拉涨，行情延续的是从1848进行的双底上涨走势，1848双底上涨，先是上冲到1921位置，之后进行向下回调修正走到1872，目前价格最高运行的1933，已经明确突破了1921的小高点，从1848进行的上涨趋势运行完好，日线图三角形震荡已经破位，打破了近段时间持续震荡的格局，短期来看，行情肯定会延续上行，那么今日操作以逢低做多为主。短线方面，4The hourly continuous positive wave of volume increase broke through1921之后，形成二次的推动上涨，目前的短线结构偏多，小周期均线拐头向上，大周期均线目前的压力也在1933Department,4小时触及后还会进行承压回踩修正，将中期均线拉上去才能完全走强，目前虽看多，也是震荡多头。
　　
　　小时图的话就比较明显了，小时图出现了十字星线，十字星线的出现将是一个分水岭，技术面不管怎么去调整，卢金迎认为黄金只要不大幅破位1920-1918的支撑位置，就坚持看涨黄金，今日思路很明确，早间惯性冲高，不着急追多，耐心等待亚盘阶段的回调并观察回撤力度，一旦回踩1920-1918守住它不跌破，保持看涨即可，阻力1936-1940，突破本周有望测试1960-1980区域。综合来看，今日黄金短线操作思路上卢金迎个人建议以回调做多为主，反弹做空为辅，上方短期重点关注1936-1942Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1918-1906Frontline support. Can you communicate with me regarding the release of orders and covers? As Lu Jinying is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding release strategies. Please add/Jialujin welcomes officials\/Micro:ljy8171Unlock your order.
　　
Analysis of crude oil trend:
　　
　　原油消息面解析：（10month9International oil prices are running at a high level, with US oil hitting a three week high. Trump announced overnight that he has resumed stimulus negotiations, whileOPEC乐观看待油市前景，卢金迎认为疫情可能助自身市场份额上升。沙特考虑撤销原定的提高欧佩克产量计划，部分沙特顾问表示市场并未为原定20010000 barrels/Prepare for increasing production in Japan, OPEC and its allies will11month30Rihe12month1Make the final decision on the day. Hurricane Delta in the United States has strengthened to3A Category I hurricane, located in the Gulf of Mexico, USA91.53%The closure of oil production capacity is equivalent to16910000 barrels/Day. in additionOPECIt is highly likely that Biden will win, as this will hand over the baton that controls the international oil market to the organization.
　　
　　原油技术面分析：原油上周在连续性回落下探至36.6Nearby stabilizing and rebounding, short-term prices once again stand on the middle track of the Bollinger Belt39Running above the checkpoint, prices are subject to two rounds of price backchecks throughout the day on Friday41.5上方压力出现快速回落，多空依托日线级别布林带上下轨再次走出宽幅震荡循环整理。周线报收光脚中阳柱，再次吞没了上一周的阴柱。不过近期原油周线阴阳交替，高位反复震荡是主格调。
　　
　　目前周线布林带缩口走横，MACDStill running with a golden cross,RSIThe adhesive runs horizontally, and the space for short-term operations is becoming narrower. We will continue to pay attention to operations during the week41.5-37大区间。日线上原油上周四连阳触及布林带上轨附近强压而回落，本周谨慎看涨，以震荡偏下行为主，日内以高空回落为主，综合来看，今日原油短线操作短线思路上卢金迎个人建议以反弹做空为主，回调做多为辅，上方短期重点关注41.0-41.2Double top resistance, short-term focus below38.2-38.6Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidancevYour words:ljy8171Obtain guidance slots.
　　
Trading requires practical experience and guidance from experts. Trading requires firm belief in one's own strategy, but it also requires maintaining resilience in reassessment. This is very complicated. On the one hand, you need to have firm courage, and on the other hand, you also need to have the intelligence to maintain an open mind. Facing the market, one should have confidence while maintaining a reverence. Sometimes it's very contradictory, the market is extremely fierce, and when your position fluctuates violently, without a strong heart, you cannot survive in the ever-changing investment market. For many beginner investors, finding an experienced mentor will determine their investment performance for a long time in the future! And Lu Jinying will be a friend you can always trust!