月线收官黄金还会涨吗?卢金迎7.31Foreign exchange goldTD期货原油走势分析操作建议及解套
already existing 216 Secondary Reading2020-7-31 04:17
No matter what kind of market situation you are facing, why others can grasp the market and always easily make profits and exit, but you have to worry about the order and ultimately cannot escape the outcome of the loss. Personally, I believe that in addition to superficial comparison, there is also a fundamental reason why you have not found the cause of the loss. The capital market does not believe in tears, and no one will be sad and pitiful for your loss, The capital market is a market full of risks and temptations, and only by respecting risks and treating profits rationally can one survive. In this market, under calm performance, the dark waves are actually surging. Many investment friends easily enter, often covered in bruises, and retail investors rush and give money without distinction. At any time, we must believe that scientific and professional technology will definitely help you out of the haze and move towards the bright future. I hope I can help more people, just like my own positioning for this job is service. People are mutual, and trust is the beginning of cooperation.
Analysis of Gold News
全球新冠肺炎疫情的爆发,进一步凸显了黄金作为对冲工具的作用,并促进了其价格表现的提升。美元计价黄金在2020年上半年上涨了17%On7月份继续攀升了10%。最近的金价变动极快,加之黄金消费需求明显疲弱,可能导致短期内金价波动性上升。但疫情可能会给资产配置带来结构性变化,此外长期看来,也有充足的基本面理由为黄金投资提供支撑。
美联储决议偏鸽,重申将动用所有工具支持经济,黄金一度重返1980美元关口。美元指数止跌回升,同时股市表现赚钱效应,这令黄金白银吸引力下降,但中国黄金需求在经济复苏之际显现出“积极信号”。美国和德国将分别发布二季度GDP数据,同时双方的最新就业状况数据也会出炉。目前看,金价还有很大的上行空间,因大量刺激措施被注入经济来应对全球疫情,为金价创造了一系列有利条件。
————Analysis of Gold Market
从技术面看,4小时昨日下探守住中轨继续冲高确认阻力。二次触碰前一日高点后有所压制,同时带动布林道上轨受压收口。开始转为高位震荡,美元短期的弱势下行放缓。低位阴跌但空间释放不大,一旦启稳反弹。黄金就会再次出现快速跳水修正。技术指标以及日线波段性浪形上涨末端,久涨之后的调整也是情理之中。附图MACD指标依旧高位死叉有待修正。昨日二次探高承压后,有做双高回落的可能。重点留意高点压制情况。当然后面不排除会有虚破的可能,但是冲高后收盘在1981下方,此阻力依旧是有效的。虚破大概率是洗盘,再构造双高回落。短线操作维持高空为主思路,看一波调整后再待重新上升。综合来看,短线操作上卢金迎建议上方短期重点关注1971-1976Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1943-1938Frontline support. The operation suggestions in the article are for reference only. Specific suggestions are given at the current price of the actual offer. Friends who are not ideal in operation or cannot grasp the market direction can add guidancevYour words:ljy8171Obtain guidance slots.
International gold short-term trading strategy:
1Gold advice1971-1976Short in batches, stop loss1979, Objective1962-1954;
2Gold advice1943-1938Long in batches, stop loss1935, Objective1953-1965;
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原油消息面解析:美油跌逾2%,创一周半新低至40.16dollar/桶,供需没有更多利好驱动,油价高处不胜寒,开始回落,美国初请数据显示失业压力较大,经济也遭遇巨大冲击,油市需求存较大不确定性,而不大可能是稳步复苏。航运数据显示,由于北方运输量的增加,到目前为止,7月份伊拉克的石油出口总量增加了大约810000 barrels/日。尼日利亚石油部长预计尼日利亚在2020year5Month6Month and7月可达到欧佩克141.210000 barrels/日的产量配额。
周四原油市场没有重要的相关数据公布,但美国第二季度GDP的初值将会吸引投资者的眼球。我们预期第二季度GDPWill shrink35%,此前第一季度GDPatrophy5.0%。如果实际数据符合悲观的预测,美元将进一步贬值,但油价的涨幅估计也非常有限,因为结果也反映出全球最大经济体未来原油需求的疲软。像往常一样在过去几周里,交易员继续评估正在进行的全球经济重新开张及其对大宗商品的需求的影响,以及OPEC +Plan to start from8月开始向市场增加供应约20010000 barrels/天,有增无减的冠状病毒大流行及其对该行业的潜在影响。
美原油技术分析:原油眼下正面临三大利空的压力。首先,供需情况将再次恶化,因为需求复苏毋庸置疑地被恶化的疫情打断,而供应方面欧佩克将从8月开始压缩减产规模。其次是美元和风险偏好两方面,这两大因素在市场情绪乐观时能够为油价带来支持,因为市场乐观时美元将会偏弱而投资者做多原油等风险资产的意愿也强。但是,随着美国恐怖的GDP数据即将公布,市场情绪已经出现转向悲观的迹象,这两大因素将转化为利空打压油价。四小时图显示,原油早已经振荡下破看跌的楔形形态,而目前正下破短期关键支撑区域38.5-38,这将强化油价反转下跌的预期。预计短期跌破38.5-38区域支持后,原油将下行指向37关口,继续往下支撑在37.8as well as37.5等水平。而要扭转油价的下跌前景,除非反弹重回40上方。综合来看,原油今日午夜操作短线思路上卢金迎个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注40.5-41.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below38.5-38.0Frontline support. Can you communicate with me regarding the release of orders and covers? As Lu Jinying is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding release strategies. Please add/Jialujin welcomes officials\/Micro:ljy8171Unlock your order.
Latest operating recommendations for crude oil:
1The rebound above the crude oil does not break40.8-41.0Short on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.8-39.6frontline;
2Unable to break under the crude oil38.8-39.0Long on the front line, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target39.8-40.0frontline;
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