Lu Jinying7.29午夜黄金高位震荡 原油再度承压;黄金空单解套
already existing 229 Secondary Reading2020-7-29 03:09
什么样的行情才是最难做的行情?明明看着行情在涨,可就是鼓不起勇气跟上节奏,好不容易跟上,结果是诱多行情,单子再一次打损!总在反复究竟与犹豫中与你的利润失之交臂,除了一声叹息,什么都没有改变,炒黄金亏损的账面依旧有一个大写的的负号刺激着你,或许老天也有眷顾的一天,行情一波回调给了你机会,可是回调是否是行情的反转?无论现货黄金行情怎么动,总有一个理由阻止你。似乎总是这样,行情总喜欢跟你开玩笑,总在牵着你的鼻子走,你也总在追赶它的脚步,却总是追不上,被它一次次伤害,最后弄得自己遍体鳞伤,不得不退出这个市场。可是仔细想来真的是这样吗?
Gold Message:
Tuesday(7month28日)现货黄金部分多头选择获利了结,日内回落70Multiple US dollars, spot silver is even more volatile, from the highest26.188dollar/Ounces dropped to22.319dollar/Ounces, amplitude reached15.7%。
分析指出,在COMEX期金创下2000美元的历史新高后,黄金创纪录的涨势显示出失去动力的迹象,白银也短暂下跌,因投资者开始评估价格是否涨得过高过快。此外,随着部分交易员获利了结,美元也收复了早些时候的部分失地。
卢金迎认为,本轮金价暴涨除了因全球新冠病例激增、地缘政治紧张之外,最主要是美欧等央行大量投放流动性的情况下,导致美国实际利率为负。市场还预期美国推出新一轮刺激计划。不过昨晚美国共和党参议员公布了1万亿美元的抗疫刺激计划的利好出尽,且两党之间甚至共和党内存在分歧,该刺激法案能否最终通过并顺利实施依然存在不确定性。短期来看,金价涨势有些过头,回调或已经开始。黄金在8Rising within trading days10%,以任何标准衡量都处于超买状态。从战略角度来看,看涨金属的理由仍未改变,但从近期看来,部分ETF投资者可能会想要获利了结,这些投资者自金价低于目前高点500美元以来,每个月都在建立头寸。在短期之后,宽松的货币将会持续实施,并为黄金提供支撑,但没有什么是可以直线上升的,现在看起来是一个盘整的好时机。
7month28Japanese goldETFsData display, as of7month28Japanese goldETF-SPDR Gold TrustGold holdings1234.65ton,Increase compared to the previous trading day5.84Tons;Gold Trust7month28日数据显示,iShares Gold Trust7month28日黄金持有量484.1ton,Increase compared to the previous trading day1.87Tons.
Gold technology:
现货黄金周线图上看,自2020year6month7号起涨,目前已收7连阳,本周开盘两天时间不到涨幅70美元左右,周二开盘黄金上涨至1981美金,新冠疫苗利好消息金价大跳水,再加上机构的介入,金价回吐今日全部涨幅,最低到达了1906美金的位置,目前报价1930dollar/盎司附近,稍有企稳。日线图来看,K线也是连收7根阳线,目前虽然金价有所回落,但并不妨碍我们看多的思路,日线上看,隔日黄金继续依托MA5日均线及上轨位置上行,收得大阳,截止目前黄金已经七连阳上涨,日线目前形成一根上下影线都很长的长十字星,虽然机构介入,但并不妨碍我们看涨。4小时上看,隔日黄金延续震荡上行趋势,不断走高,今日黄金亚市盘中持续上行,触及日内高位后展开跳水,由涨转跌,目前仍受MA5均线压制之中,但目前的黄金逐渐走高,有慢慢回补这波跳水之势。那么整体今晚而言,黄金还是以做多为主,高空为辅,细节嘛,卢金迎还是会在实盘当中进行公布。至于大概思路,各位就是等待1940-1950区域做空,一旦破位1950,各位继续守1970-1980再空即可。下方的话,关注1900得失,1905-1900不破做多,破位顺势做空下看1880-1870即可。文中操作建议仅供参考,具体建议实盘现价给出,操作不理想或把握不了行情方向的朋友可添加指导vYour words:ljy8171Obtain guidance slots.
Crude Oil Message:
7month28日,国际油价回吐稍早涨幅,因新冠病毒病例不断增加打击需求前景,抵销对美国扩大刺激政策的乐观情绪。欧洲最大的廉价航空公司——瑞安航空将年度旅客目标下调了四分之一。美国佛罗里达州和加利福尼亚州各自的病例数现在都已经超过了以前的疫情中心纽约州。油价要向上突破,美国南方的新冠病例数曲线至少要明显趋平。
Tuesday(7month28day),国际油价回吐稍早涨幅,因新冠病毒病例不断增加打击需求前景,抵销对美国扩大刺激政策的乐观情绪。美国正努力刺激经济以走出疫情危机,这曾令人期望石油需求将走强。
Technical aspects of crude oil:
日线上看,隔日原油展开探高回落,并在短线刺破中轨位置后回升,截止收盘收于带长下影线的中阳,日线上,原油自触及高位42.5美元一线后展开回落,并持于中上轨40.0-42.0区间运行,日内不做过多分析,没有明确消息面指引,还是以震荡来对待;4小时上看,隔日原油持于中下轨之间运行,晚间短线刺破中轨回落后再次上行,当前行情运行至中轨上方,布林带处于开口期,MA均线即将走出金叉形态,KDJRandom indicator three lines up, reaching overbought,MACD指标红色动能柱开始出现,快慢线金叉向上,综合来看,原油目前技术面到顶,涨幅受限,短期内可能面临短线回撤,上方42.0-42.5前期高点依旧存在压力,日内操作卢金迎建议高空低多进行布局,上方关注42.0-42.5One line of resistance, pay attention below40.3-40.5Frontline support. Can you communicate with me regarding the release of orders and covers? As Lu Jinying is not aware of the specific locations and positions of your orders, it is not possible to provide corresponding release strategies. Please add/Jialujin welcomes officials\/Micro:ljy8171Unlock your order.
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
Rebound42.0-42.5Close in, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.0-41.5Nearby;
Withdrawal40.5-41.0Close in, stop loss0.4US dollars, look at the target41.5-42.0Nearby;
The most important thing about investing is not how much you can earn a week at a time. The key lies in whether you can make stable profits. Short term fluctuations, mid line bands, and long term trends are not good or bad methods. As long as they are suitable for you, achieving stable profits is a good method. Operational risk is an objective and inevitable factor, and under certain conditions, it also has certain patterns. There are many investors in the market, some of whom do not believe in evil. As someone who has tried to persuade you, you must listen to some principles. If you do not listen to such experiences, you will understand some trading principles. It is actually easy to stay away from losses. In fact, the market writes a lot of analysis articles, and the strength of analysts lies not in the content of the article, but in the real order. Because the market is constantly changing, the real order has value. After implementing a set of strategies, the strategy is right and simple, The market has a regular pattern, and the operation requires methods. It is easy to accept the best one and make a profit.
I hope everyone can overcome the most difficult stage of market trading and give themselves enough time and opportunities to embark on a stable and profitable path, rather than being overwhelmed by short-term difficulties and pressure. I am Lu Jinying, and I am very grateful for being able to patiently read through some of my personal experiences. I also wish every investor can overcome difficulties and bravely climb the peak of market trading.
Author Lu Jinying - On Jin Shi/Oil market/equity market/债市等全球主要金融市场都有深入而独特的见解,主要采用价格控盘,精准预判价格高低点,主要研究方向包括量价时空、江恩星象图等。