Jin Ying4.22In the evening, crude oil was turbulent, and the latest trend analysis of gold
already existing 230 Secondary Reading2020-4-22 23:26
Sometimes in life, the glow of a candle feels very friendly. Usually when I go to work, it's in the morning7From midnight to the early morning of the next day3Point, but in my memory, I rarely seem to leave work on time. As long as the customer's order is still there, stay up late until the early morning6Stopping orders is a common occurrence, have you ever had it before! After staying up all night and not sleeping, it's not that I'm not sleepy, let alone insomnia. It's just that the client still has a list in their hands, struggling and wandering between being unable to leave and having more time. I have been trading for several years, and I spend every night with friends like this. I can deeply feel your anxious heart, so I gradually got used to staying up late, getting used to writing an article during my meal time, and sending a helping, hope, and even a reassuring pill to friends who are destined to see me. I feel that this help is useful. But sometimes I feel helpless[align=center][/align]
——原油消息面
Wednesday(4month22Day)22:30Announced US to4month17Day and WeekEIAIncrease in crude oil inventory1502.2桶,前值为增加1924.8Ten thousand barrels, expected increase1515万桶。美国原油库存已是连续5周出现1000万桶以上的增幅,上上周增幅更是逼近2000Ten thousand barrels.
EIA数据公布后,WTI原油期货下挫后拉升1USD, current report14.22dollar/桶,布伦特原油期货报21.05dollar/Bucket.NYMEXMost activeWTIMain crude oil futures contract Beijing time4month22day22:30-33四分钟内买卖盘面瞬间成交13016The total value of trading contracts exceeds1.82USD100mn
EIA报告显示,上周美国国内原油产量减少1010000 barrels to122010000 barrels/日,美国上周原油出口减少54.610000 barrels/Solstice28910000 barrels/Day, continuous5周录得下滑。
今晨公布的上周API库存录得增加132010000 barrels to5亿桶。金融博客零对冲在评论API原油库存数据时指出,美国原油库存连续13周录得增加。因新冠疫情影响需求,加上欧佩克减产尚未执行,全球原油严重供应过剩,全球范围内储油空间告急。分析师称市场需要看到原油产量的立即减少才可能开始恢复。
Analysis of the trend of crude oil market;
国际油价下跌,先前伴随全球范围内的储油空间告急以及卫生事件导致的需求崩溃,日益严重的供过于求状况触发了原油市场的疯狂卖盘。他们上周同意将日产量缩减大约1000万桶,但是减产协议要到5月才会生效,而且即便到那时,减产措施仍不足以使市场供应与受到疫情严重冲击的需求达到平衡。有迹象表明,随着全球各地储油设施油满为患,这种惊人的低油价水平还会持续一段时间。
技术面来看,随着全球的储油空间进一步被填满,全球需求由于经济停滞而持续疲软,炼油厂和航空公司等实体企业没有继续买油的动力和空间,多重因素使得市场担心油价的疲软会更长久,卢金迎认为,即使OPEC+Oil producing countries5month1日开始正式减产,并且供应过剩的情况在今年下半年好转,但至少未来4reach6周,油价的走势可能都会持续面临非常大的下行压力,油价下破19.20后大幅走低;日线MACDandKDJ死叉运行,指示油价整体承压,短线仍有进一步下行的迹象,下方初步支撑参考1986year4Monthly low point9.75,进一步支撑在前一交易日低点6.50附近,这也是油价这几十年来触及的最低点;不过,由于KDJ逼近超卖区域,短线仍然需要警惕震荡反弹的可能,上方短期阻力参考日内高点14.19附近,该位置同时靠近布林线下轨,若收复该位置,则油价可能试探17关口附近阻力,若进一步上破则关注19.2附近阻力,油价需要有效收复该位置才能削目前的弱势信号;综合来看此次石油危机可能导致全球原油需求峰值出现永久性的下降,因此在市场上过剩的产量被消化之前,油价短时间内将继续承压,短期内应当杜绝“抄底”,所以今日操作思路上卢金迎个人建议高空为主,低多为辅;上方重点关注16.5-17.0Line resistance,Key focus below8.0-6.5Frontline support.
Analysis of the trend of gold market;
4month22日,现货黄金价格走强,因美元在上日创出两周高位后回落。不过,油价崩跌后市场涌现的争抢现金行为,仍将冲销避险买盘对金价的支撑作用。美元指数上日触及4month7New high in recent days100.48。G20农粮部长周二在线上会议中同意,阻止卫生事件扩散的紧急举措一定不能扰乱全球食品供应链。国际油价再次大跌,ICE布伦特原油期货跌至1999year6The lowest point since the beginning of the month15.98dollar/桶,新冠疫情导致汽油和航煤等各种成品油需求崩塌,原油供应严重过剩。美国俄克拉荷马州库欣的库容已全部租给生产商和贸易商,他们很快就会把油罐装满。核心海湾国家未参加上日的OPEC能源部长会议。黄金:黄金从日线上来看,周二虽然有探底回升有止跌迹象,但是没能改变收阴的事实,再加上MACD仍处于转空信号加强预期,KDJ向下死叉散发,表明了短期阻力很脆弱,并有再度下挫的风险。不过值得注意的是其它各周期指标保持着多头排列,布林中轨也向上延伸,同时sto双线已经于20轴上方结成金叉,RSI指标受其带动具备较强的上行动能,所以,日线整体看来多头正在进入占据主动的步骤。
黄金从四小时来看,昨日大起大落之后金价于布林带下轨展开强势反弹,金价重新回到MA5均线上方,且上破短期下降趋势线在1686的压力位,表明短线多头动能增强,指标上来看,MACD处于缩减看涨信号转向增强中,sto双线处于上行形态,RSI指标具备充足上行势能,所以,4小时级别整体可期回落调整后多头再次展开反攻。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上卢金迎个人建议以回调做多为主,反弹高空为辅,上方短期重点关注1710-1715Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1685-1690Frontline support.
你合理的把控仓位,利用支撑和阻力位下单,让每一单有理可依,有迹可循。买卖点位不应该是随意进场,请对自己的资金负责。文章的结尾卢金迎想说,如果你对行情真的无法把握,可以前来找到我,多一个分析师对你来说没有任何损失,永远记住一句话,专业的人做专业的事,一切实战只为盈利,合作只为双赢。投资市场吃水不忘挖井人,要想知道井有多深,不下水怎么能知道深浅呢?站着不动你永远都是观众!
[size=3][font= ] 这个市场对某些人来说可能已经身心俱疲了,从满怀希望接触原油投资,到损失惨重害怕入场,亏的连鼓励自己的信心都没有,或许真的不适合这个市场,无论从实力上,还是心态上,都不能做好,一度寻求一个可以帮助你的老师,也以亏损告终,继续待在黄金市场不开心,离开黄金市场不甘心,这或许是很多投资者面临的现状。任何投资都是有一定风险的,要么不做,要做就做出一番名堂出来。那么在投资的道路上,我给不你了太多温暖,我只能让你找回自信,我给不了太多安慰,我只能从操作中让你学到经验,我给不了太多虚假的承诺,我只能在实战中让你读懂市场规律[/font][/size]