Jin Ying 4.22How to handle the sharp drop in crude oil and how to grasp the evening gold market

Time will precipitate the most genuine emotions; Wind and rain will test the warmest companionship. Those who walk away are just fleeting moments; What remains is a cherished bond. Come enthusiastically, not necessarily for a long time; If love is plain, it may not be heartless. What the eyes see may be an illusion, but what the heart feels is the most real. Time tells us that simple liking is the most long-term; Ordinary companionship is the most reassuring; The person who understands you is the warmest. If you want to become a big tree, don't compare with the grass! In the short term, compared to trees, the growth rate of grass is definitely more pronounced, but after a few years, the grass has changed a few times, and the trees are still trees. So there are only ancient and big trees in this world, but there is no ancient or big grass. Investment is the same, what matters is not the speed of the moment, but the sustained development power. A person who lacks confidence and strength in their heart often needs to improve their aura by losing their temper, which is a potential manifestation of inferiority. A truly powerful person is extremely soft, and those who are good at controlling situations can achieve calmness and composure. They are like water and are good at benefiting all things without competition. When a person reaches a certain stage of growth, the obstacles they encounter are not the bottleneck of their skills, but the control and management of their own emotions, which is a direct manifestation of their limited mind and pattern. Practicing is learning to control one's temper, emotions, and then controlling one's own funds to become an investment winner

　　
　　金迎个人观点：现货黄金承压1700美元下方。周一黄金价格上涨，因创纪录油价下跌刺激了避险需求，油价走势震撼了市场，导致美国股市下跌，投资者远离高风险资产，进入黄金之类的避风港。眼下市场押注史无前例的全球货币刺激措施只会增加，很难想象本周风险资产将继续表现亮丽，这应会为黄金提供强劲的基本面支撑。美债收益率创逾三周新低；日内美元指数继续维持强劲，这暂时阻止了金价的进一步上行，同时油市继续暴跌，全球通缩预期升温，这不利于贵金属表现，现货白银也创两周新低。同时，投资者也继续观望全球新型冠状病毒疫情的进展消息以及欧美股市的反应，在更多资金流于隔夜油市崩盘后仍然倾向于兑换回美元现金的背景下，现货贵金属市场仍暂时没太多关注。
　　
————Analysis of Gold Market
　　
　　现货黄金价格因美元上涨而下跌，不过美国原油暴跌拉低了股市，抑制了金价的跌势。上个交易日美国原油历史上首次跌至负价格，增加了避险买需，金价上日最高跳涨逾1.1%。黄金也用于对冲通胀风险，而原油价格下跌强化了市场通缩压力。不过随着疫情出现好转的迹象，且美欧等部分国家准备重启经济，这可能会短时间抑制黄金的涨幅。另一个限制黄金涨幅的因素是美元的走强。美元兑一篮子货币周一微升，因油价狂泻令石油相关货币承压，投资者正在等待本周欧盟峰会的结果，该峰会将讨论如何应对疫情的经济影响。衡量美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数微涨0.07%，且周二扩大涨幅，收复100Gateway.
　　
　　黄金又开始与股市表现脱钩，此前我们预见到股市的回落，这为黄金走高提供支撑，同时也是触发债市，美元走高的部分原因。有投资者提到了2008年金融危机后黄金大幅拉升1000dollar/盎司的情形，这种破纪录般的涨势只有在局势再次失控，且预期短线陡峭的衰退转为更惨更持久的萧条情况下才可能发生。金迎分析认为，技术面指标显示，黄金的空头仍占据优势。唯有金价重返1685一线，才有望继续上破1690，扭转短线震荡波动的局面。操作上金迎建议反弹做空为主，上方关注1703-1708Resistance, pay attention below1660-1655支撑。文章只能给你一时的方向和思路，至于具体进场的点位和止盈时机，金迎会实时给出，欢迎关注！
　　
————Analysis of crude oil market
　　[align=center]　　目前美国WTIcrude oil5月合约价格已经重返正值。面对历史最低油价，美国总统特朗普在昨晚（当地时间4month20日）的记者会上表示，考虑购买7500万桶原油用于该国战略储备，把储备库存“买满”。同时特朗普表示将考虑停止从沙特进口原油。克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫称，周一原油期货价格下跌是由于投机行为，将原油期货价格暴跌与实际油价挂钩是错误的。若有必要，OPEC+伙伴国之间可以建立起联系。[/align]
　　
　　隔夜美原油期货出现负值的特殊情况，虽然事出有因，并不代表油价的真实行情，但还是使得今日市场陷入危机当中。市场对于原油的供应过剩产生严重的担忧情绪，导致欧盘时段原油出现大幅的下跌，WTI原油下方一度跌破12一线，随后有所回弹，测压至18未破再度陷入震荡。WTI原油技术点位可以关注17-18压力带，预期晚间围绕15附近震荡概率大，其上和其下运行也将决定美油短线是进一步积弱，还是有技术性的止跌可能，下方重点关注12-11支撑带测试，日内下探后快速回升，所以预期晚间不太可能再出现破位12的情况。激进者则可以在12附近轻仓做中线看24。
　　
If you have firm long-term investment expectations, short-term price fluctuations will be meaningless. Investment decisions will not be affected by emotions. If you want to have a wonderful life, you must constantly invest in yourself. You must invest within the scope of your understanding and give the opportunity to others at an appropriate time. This is a wise investment. If you go in the wrong direction, you can start again. If you do not observe investment discipline, you will be eliminated sooner or later.
　　[size=3][font= ]The market is still the same, and the rhythm is still the same. For such a repetitive market, it undoubtedly meets the appetite of many people. Profits are just as simple as eating and drinking water. Since you have entered the order, don't have a fearful heart. The profits that belong to you always belong to you, and the profits that don't belong to Lu Jinying forcefully help you regain them. In my case, there is no such thing as setting an order or saying small gains or big losses. When the order arrives, take action, Before the point is reached, you can see. You have your execution, I have my ideas. The market has a trend, and when the three are in one, it is the moment of profit. However, in recent times, the combination of the three is simply easy. Why can others keep making profits while you keep losing? Ultimately, you have a mentality, blind operation, and do not summarize the reasons for the losses. Forget about the present. Lu Jinying hopes that you can manage and have a smooth sailing in the future, Big gains and small losses![/font][/size]