Jin Ying4.21Exclusive market analysis of evening gold and crude oil, real-time operation suggestions for gold
already existing 204 Secondary Reading2020-4-21 22:41
The investment market is constantly changing, with long and short positions intersecting at any time. We cannot go long when we see a rise, nor should we go short when we see a fall. We have found the right direction and followed firmly until the trading plan we have made is implemented, regardless of profit or loss, so that we can make money in the market for a long time. The establishment of trading plans is usually done when we are calm and rational, and the decisions and ideas we make when the market fluctuates slightly are determined by following the fluctuations of the market. Many times, we make operations that are not rational and calm, which is often an addiction that many people cannot quit, leading to the root cause of most people's losses. Just like the current situation where gold rebounds after an upward trend, many people may be afraid, The market will not stop because you are afraid of it. Trading is nothing more than buying up and buying down. From a simple probability perspective, each account for50%Whether you are afraid or not, you will choose a direction to go, and the trading decisions we make immediately due to market fluctuations generally have a winning rate of50%The following means that most unprofitable individuals have a probability of operating below half. If we want to make money in the market, we need to increase our probability of success. The simplest way is to calmly and rationally make the trading probability before trading, and strictly execute it. Even if you flip a coin, the probability of making it is higher than that of making it due to market fluctuations. Therefore, it is important to strictly execute your trading plan[align=center][/align]
Message: Tuesday(4month21日),美元指数连续第二个交易日走高,重返100关口上方,谨慎情绪重回全球市场,油价狂泻提升了美元作为避险资产的吸引力。国际金价失守1700关口,未能延续前一交易日涨势。周一因创纪录油价下跌刺激了避险需求,油价走势震撼了市场,导致美国股市下跌,同时更美国的通缩风险加剧,这可能会抑制物价温和上涨,从而拖累经济复苏。日内关注英国失业率和欧元区的经济景气指数,同时美国参议院可能在周二会议中就4500亿美元的拨款进行表决。
黄金:昨日价格反弹在1703一线遇阻回落,到今日早盘价格小时线延续弱势后出现反弹,目前来看反弹的幅度是大了些,但是由于现在还不是多头再度起航的时候,而且调整的时间也没结束,说明黄金依然看空,只是破位就很难了,转为震荡下跌。或者将今日的反弹和昨日反弹相对应。行情本来就是在走震荡下跌,只不过期间有弱势下行,也有反弹确定高点。从当前的情况来看,貌似下跌放缓,但实际上更重要的阻力昨日已经反弹测试过了,下跌中更加应该关注阻力,支撑只是用来做预期或者是下跌目标的,而现在就是日线冲高遇阻的时候,所以进一步明确1703之下高点调整并没有结束!黄金日线级别调整当前还没有结束,而是冲高回落。说明下行走调整的本质没有改变,那么还是要做空,而中长线方面在1650下方,可能也不会这么低,因为之前上升也是从这上来,然后才是1673as well as1697,所以作为前一波上升的上升来说,这个位置应该具备一点点支撑,那么在等到中线位置之前,短线交易刻不容缓。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上卢金迎个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注1685-1690Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1655-1650Frontline support.
原油:原油从日线来上来看,重回空头排列,MACDandKDJ进场运行,由于合约交割造成的“假暴涨”,油价一度站上30日均线,随后连续两个交易日收阴,目前仍然受到30Daily moving average25.1附近阻力压制并失守10Daily moving average18.11附近支撑,有进一步试探5Daily moving average10.74附近支撑的迹象,下方较强支撑关注10关口,若失守该位置,则油价仍然可能跌向06美元附近;不过,由于5号合约跌破1999年来的低点,最低触及10美元附近,同时5号合约逐步移仓至6号合约也对油价构成一定支撑,临近月底,5月将开始实际实施的减产计划,同时也对油价构成一定支撑,短线仍然需要警惕油价震荡反弹的可能,上方初步阻力在10Daily moving average23.08附近,进一步较强阻力在30Daily moving average25.1附近,若突破该位置,则可能进一步试探因为合约切换跳空高开后所创出的高点于26.78USD;4month3Resistance to daily highs17.13附近。综合来看,今日晚间短线操作思路上卢金迎个人建议以反弹高空为主,回调做多为辅,上方短期重点关注20.0-21.0Frontline resistance, short-term focus below12.5-11.5Frontline support.
[size=3][font= ]No matter how many words there are, there is no real and feasible profit. Ten out of ten things in life are not satisfactory, and there is always a big gap between imagination and reality. How many times can one strive in life, and how many people cannot turn back? The more so, the more they cannot take countless risks with limited funds. This market has witnessed miracles and seen through people's hearts, and opportunities always slip through their fingertips inadvertently, It's not until the market provides satisfactory results that you regret it. After reading so many articles, you still can't make a good deal. It's not because you haven't worked hard enough. The saying goes, there are orders in the news, and there are specialties in the art industry. Please teach professional problems to professionals to solve them efficiently. The opportunity is already in front of you, make your choice, and Jin Ying is here to take you off[/font][/size]