Jin Ying4.21Gold fluctuates lower, crude oil production reduction is hindered, and the prediction and strategy of the trend of gold and crude oil

What we have walked through is time, what we have seen is the market situation, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have tasted is gains and losses, what we have accumulated is experience, and what we have achieved is the realm. We are filled with emotions of bitterness, spiciness, sourness, and sweetness, indifferent to the market, not worried about everything, not worried about things, not thinking about things, not greedy when encountering profits, not disorderly in times of danger, following orders according to departments, planning strategies, and operating step by step, so that we can stay in a chaotic market and steadily move forward. On the contrary: if one only craves profits, disregards risks, is aggressive and belligerent, and carries it to the end, they will inevitably fail. Those who are skilled in warfare have no outstanding achievements in battle! The market trend is constantly changing, and only by keeping up with the times and following the trend can we stand firm. A single flower cannot sustain a beautiful spring, nor can one person's power change the market trend. We only need to step on the train to the destination when the opportunity comes, and if the water is three thousand, we can only take a spoonful. The investment market is a place where miracles occur, believe in them, and create them. Profits require a complete system. Once we master this complete system, the market will no longer be unpredictable, but will become our friend. Below, I, Lu Jinying, bring you a simple article that I hope can help you with.

　　
　　现货黄金行情走势分析；
　　
Monday(4month20day)美国原油期货5月合约崩跌，史上首次跌至负值区域，收于令人瞠目结舌的每桶负37.63美元，因重要原油交割地库欣的储油空间接近极限，加剧了对即将到期的原油合约的抛售。美元因石油相关货币承压而微幅上涨，挪威克朗和加元表现最差。因油价大崩盘引发避险需求，金价创一周来最大升幅。周一黄金价格上涨，因创纪录油价下跌刺激了避险需求，油价走势震撼了市场，导致美国股市下跌，投资者远离高风险资产，进入黄金之类的避风港。经纪商OANDASenior Market AnalystEdward Moya表示，黄金上涨，因押注史无前例的全球货币刺激措施只会增加，在石油行业经历历史性崩跌后，这提醒所有人，全球经济活动还远未恢复正常；很难想象本周风险资产将继续表现亮丽，这应会为黄金提供强劲的基本面支撑；如果金价在今日收盘前继续维持在1700dollar/盎司的水准，那么最终可能在本周测试1800dollar/ounce.
　　
　　黄金技术面来看，刚刚过去的一周，金价冲高回落，当周基本收平，并收出长上影周k线，川普的重新开放美国计划启动，市场风险情绪有了些许好转，金价自七年高位回落。不过，众多支撑因素仍然是金价中期强劲支撑，疲弱的美国经济现状，全球经济深陷衰退深渊，美联储的无限量宽松措施，美国政府的财政赤字和政局风险，这些因素都是支撑金价长期走高的重要因素。国际金价周二最高触及近七年半高点1747.36，再度刷新至2012year11月底以来最高位后承压回落，一度击穿1680美元关口，最深跌幅达2.20%, refresh4month13Since the low point of the day1679.94dollar/盎司，最终录得一根大阴线，日线MACD金叉但红能开始萎缩，KDJ在超买区域结成死叉，金价失守1700整数关口，短线面临进一步回调的风险，初步支撑在周低点1676附近，若持续走低，进一步下看1644First line, this is1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%回撤位，不过，由于MACD金叉信号仍在，均线依然多头排列，若金价坚守1676附近支撑，则仍然需要警惕金价震荡反弹的可能，1700已经转换为上方初步阻力所在，若金价收复该位置，则削弱短线看空信号，5Daily moving average resistance1711.97nearby,若收复该位置则增加短线看涨信号，上周四高点阻力在1738.7附近，进一步较强阻力在周二创下的七年半高点1747.36附近。综合来看，今日短线操作思路上卢金迎个人建议以反弹高空为主，上方短期重点关注1710-1715Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1675-1670一线支撑。　盘间行情实时变化具体进场点位以实盘为准；
　　
Analysis of the international crude oil market trend;
　　
　　隔夜美国原油期货5月合约崩跌，史上首次跌至负值区域，出现这种情况的原因是多重因素决定的，主要是5月合约面临交割，市场极差的流动性以及市场传闻美储油空间达极限值，导致市场恐慌多杀多，当然其中也掺杂了政治因素，即对沙特、俄罗斯的反击。可以看出这并不是真正的原油行情走势，因为6月合约以及布伦特原油并未受到太大的影响，更像是一次偶发的黑天鹅事件，究其根本原因，还是和全球疫情蔓延导致经济黯淡，原油需求大幅降低有关，因此从此此黑天鹅事件我们需要注意的是，受疫情影响，未来的黑天鹅事件还会有，务必加以防范，另外市场超出了可以预料的范畴，对此风险性需要重新评估。
　　
Although5月份合约出现崩跌出现负值，但多数经纪商已经转至6Monthly contract, currently6月合约也并未出现大幅的回落，但是还是受到了一定的影响。根据其技术走势，隔夜一度回撤至20附近，随后又围绕在21上方震荡回弹，整体走势并不是很悲观。目前市场可能会受到5月合约负值的影响而出现一定的消极情绪，接下来WTIcrude oil6月合约将面临“下行压力”，能否避免暴跌仍然取决于产量、需求和库存问题。若原油价格继续下跌可能导致更多产油商停止运作，进而导致原油需求进一步减少。若5月中旬前需求不能抬头，WTIcrude oil6月合约或将面临同样的命运。根据6月合约报价，日内下方继续还是关注12.0as well as10.0支撑测试，上方重点关注23短压测试，如能重返23上方，则短线弱势情绪基本可得到化解。至于操作上，稳健者暂时还是先观望一下，有待市场情绪稳定，或行情出现明确的回升信号后再择机参与，避开目前极为混乱的交易环境风险。
　　
When you understand what trends are, trading is no longer lost. When you understand what is important and what is secondary, it shows that you know how to weigh the pros and cons. Trading is the consideration of the human heart. If you fall, you want to lower yourself, but if you rise, you want to higher yourself. Every failed case is human greed, and every successful case is a rational reward. In the face of a trend, all operations that go against the trend will bury one's own funds, while those that go with the trend are afraid to take action. If they fall for a long time, they will go long, and if they rise for a long time, they will go short. Many people follow this approach in trading, but they do not know that this approach has any technical basis.
　　[size=3][font= ]Don't worry about short-term success or failure, focus on long-term odds. Use historical data to infer the expected return of a trading system, and then persist; Losing everything is not a small probability event, you cannot put all your eggs in one basket. Take every market involved in trading seriously and give the same attention; Persist until the expected returns turn into real gold and silver; All waiting and persistence is to catch the trend. The brave will win in a narrow road encounter. Don't worry about rising too fast, and there will be a foam; Don't worry about falling for two days, afraid of a reversal. Strictly follow the initial departure point to decide whether to advance or retreat, dare to persist, and dare to shine the sword.[/font][/size]
[size=3][font= ]
[/font][/size]