Lu Jinying4.13Suggestions for Evening Gold Operations+Analysis of crude oil market+Accurate unpacking strategy

already existing 232 Secondary Reading2020-4-13 19:30

  千里马常有,而伯乐不常有,人生最快意的三件事莫过于:棋逢对手,酒逢知己,将遇良才!投资路上,其实可怕的不是行情,而是迷失了自己,找不到方向感,不敢坚持自己的原则。我们投资凭借的不是运气,而是精准判断盘势,冷静面对大盘起落,情绪绝不随着输赢起舞。风险不可怕,可怕的是,让风险失控!有一个不变的真理:多数人走着一条路,怀念另一条路,无论盈亏都不要轻言放弃!既然选择了远方,便只顾风雨兼程。
  
  -----Gold Market Analysis-----
  
  接下来的一周,市场将迎来素有“恐怖数据”之称的美国3月零售销售数据,且美国将公布截至4month11日当周的初请失业金人数,届时恐再度掀翻市场。另外,中国将公布一季度GDP数据,加拿大央行(BOC)将继此前两度紧急降息后再度公布利率决定,投资者可保持重点关注。现货黄金从技术面来看,随着市场充斥着货币和财政刺激措施,并且美联储利率处于零水平,黄金将继续巩固多年牛市的格局;不过需要注意的是,面临前期高点1703争夺关口,看涨不宜追多,而以回踩支撑位做多为主!
  
  4小时级别,行情踩着短期均线整理上涨,由于波动基数较大,这种横向整理上涨,点位比较关键,要么强势不回踩,直接慢性整理上涨,要么就是深踩洗损后再快速拉回。趋势虽然看多,但切入点位也是至胜点。综合来看,今日操作思路上卢金迎建议:逢低做多即可。上方短期重点关注1699Frontline resistance, short-term focus below1678Frontline support.
  
  -----Analysis of crude oil market-----
  
  北京时间周一凌晨,全球主要石油生产国组成的“欧佩克+”石油联盟宣布达成历史性减产协议,以期结束造成严重损失的石油价格大战。周一早上,据路透报价,WTI原油期货开盘跳涨8%,上破24美元。布伦特原油期货开盘大涨超5%,升破34美元。但数分钟后,两油期货双双转跌,WTI原油期货跌幅一度扩大至3%。截至发稿,WTI原油现货也跌近2%. stayG20能源峰会上敦促美国和其他产油国再削减5%的产量。不过,即使达成了减产15%的协议,市场上仍有大量原油积压,因为全球原油需求下降了30%之多。
  
  今日开盘原油因市场因素影响高开为24.6之后又跌至22.0一线,由于MACD仍然金叉运行,油价再次回到相对低位,逢低买盘也会对油价构成一定支撑,若油价坚守22关口支撑,则仍然存在低位反弹的可能,4小时有下挫线,看上去短线空头更强一些,但要结合周K线的结构来看。周线并未完全回吐上涨启明线的形态组合,也就是暂时守住了低点19.20上方震荡,目前短线的回测可当作是二次下探确认底部,所以短线虽然结构偏空,但空间看不了太升,仍看好周线级别的盘底回升,故短线操作看空不追空,同样等待下探止跌启稳后以低多为主,低多是为了将短线多随时调整成中线布局。
  
  原油一小时级别技术面K线受到趋势线支撑,并且价格处于前期预期的拐点22附近。所以该位置的特殊性就是波段回撤0.618看涨位置。同时结合目前RSI指标超卖看涨,市场环境利好油价稳定走强。所以卢金迎个人认为油价将会在未来从22上涨走强至33-40关口。毕竟想要完全恢复还需疫情的配合。近期原油中长线布局将再次启动。今日操作思路上卢金迎个人建议回调做多为主,反弹做空为辅;上方关注24.6-25.0Resistance, pay attention below22.5-22.0Support!
  
Investment is like playing chess. Those with high chess skills can see five, seven, or even more than ten steps, while those with low chess skills can only see two or three steps. High players consider the overall situation and plan for the big picture, not focusing on one piece or one place, with the ultimate goal of winning the game. Low players compete for every inch of land, only for temporary needs, resulting in frequent difficulties. Trends must have a long-term perspective, investments must have long-term planning, and layout skills are the key to success. When investing, if your abilities are not enough to support your current situation, then you need a military strategist to help you control the overall situation. One choice is a turning point! One attempt is an opportunity!

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