Lu Jinying4.13Latest market analysis and operational suggestions, and today's crude oil trend prediction to resolve the situation

Simple market conditions are simple to do, complex market conditions are not to do, the profits obtained are called investment, the profits not obtained are called burning money, the market is unpredictable, who takes who seriously? It's all real gold and silver operations, and losing money only hurts you. Those who can bring you profits are called teachers, those who can support each other and help each other are friends, those who seek warmth and comfort are family members, those who cheat on food and drink are superficial brothers, and investment and trading are like being a person. Choice is greater than effort, whether it is the choice of trading direction, investment method, or teacher's choice, it is crucial. Those who cannot bring you profits are all exaggerations. Something is in the sky, success lies in the person, and a sincere life, Hypocrisy will always be despised. It is a market where gold always shines and fish and dragons mix. The recognition gained through boasting will always be revealed in its true form. Only by persisting in writing useful analysis for investors can investors avoid detours, learn skills and knowledge, and make fewer mistakes. Therefore, I believe that time will see people's hearts
　　
Crude oil news surface
　　
OPEC+减产协议已经达成，相信大家目前十分关注的就是油价能否抄底，原有能否成为2020年的投资机会。当然我也很关注，毕竟也关注一个月之久了，从刚开始俄罗斯和欧佩克谈崩，到沙特大打石油价格战，再到美国油气公司的破产整个到目前为止，我们看到了油价从40Falling to20.并且在我个人的观点中预测19.5美元每桶的价格拐点成立，我们可谓是经历了原油历史性的事件。那么一起来看目前原油的市场环境
　　
OPEC+确认自2020year5month1The first round of production reduction will be carried out for two months starting from the date of [insert date], with a reduction amount of [insert amount]97010000 barrels/Day; since2020year7Reduce production from the beginning of the month80010000 barrels/Solstice12Month; since2021year1Reduce production from the beginning of the month60010000 barrels/Solstice2022year4Month.  欧佩克秘书长巴尔金都形容本次原油减产幅度是历史性的：（欧佩克+减产协议）减产规模大，持续时间长，长达两年时间，今天共同见证了国际合作和多边主义的胜利，这是欧佩克价值观的核心。 所有欧佩克、非欧佩克产油国及其它产油国，翻开了石油世界的历史新篇章。
　　
　　作为本轮石油价格战发起者之一的沙特阿拉伯，宣布5月起将减产至85010000 barrels/日。一旦沙特减产到位，这将创本国2011年以来最低的产油水平。川普“亲自”参与了欧佩克协议的谈判，美国原油减产预期为160-20010000 barrels/日，美国削减的产量将包括墨西哥的减产份额， 进一步实锤了美国为墨西哥减产买单的计划。美国迫切需要通过促成甚至直接下场参与减产行动，以提振油价缓解国内页岩油产商的债务与经营压力
　　
　　从消息面来看市场已经是不断的开始恢复，至少大家可以看到全球主要产油国对于目前油价维稳所做出的努力。虽然目前疫情依旧严峻不容乐观，并且对于原油的需求来讲的话还在下降。同时面临着全球原油能源储备的饱和，这些利空消息的大环境下，在没有减产协议之前，油价最低是下行至19.5附近。那么目前减产协议已经达成的环境下，个人认为油价将会启动震荡上涨。毕竟出于疫情影响需求的条件下，所以不考虑油价会出现喷井式的上涨。
　　
　　那么油价想要起飞还是需要疫情完全控制，并且复工复产，恢复对于原油的需求，这将会是一个震荡筑底上行到爆发的市场阶段
　　
　　USOIL
　　
　　原油：日线低位震荡；日线图上看，油价仍维持在19.27-30.00区间宽幅震荡。前MACD、KDJ均呈金叉状态，暗示油价后续仍有继续上涨动能。上行阻力先关注27.40一线，这是布林带中轨处，对价格走势有一定压制性，上破后料进一步测试本周高点28.24一线。上方阻力位进一步关注30关口，这是重要的心理关口，同时也接近65.65-19.27This wave of decline23.6%回撤位，有极强的压制性。一旦该关口被突破，将将大幅增加市场看涨情绪，有望助力油价测试36.34First line, this is3month9日大跌的跳空缺口，同时接近38.2%回撤位。反之，下方支撑位先关注本周低点23.50一线，下破后进一步关注22.00关口。若仍未能有效支撑油价，料重新测试20.00-19.90区间的支撑性，这是近期最重要心理关口。而一旦该关口失守，恐拖累油价下探十八年以来触及的最低点19.27One line of US dollars.
　　
　　4小时维持宽幅震荡走势；4From an hourly perspective,MACD虽然呈死叉但有转金叉趋势，KDJ金叉，暗示油价短线仍有上行空间。上行阻力先关注前一交易日高点26.50一线，若上破价格料进一步测试27.40一线附近。突破后阻力位上看4month4Daily high point29.13一线。进一步阻力位在30.20一线附近，这是65.65-19.27This wave of decline23.6%回撤位，同时也是三月中旬多次测试的支撑阻力位。下行支撑首先关注25.00关口，其次是本周低点23.54一线，这也受布林带下轨处支撑。一但该点位失守，下方支撑留意22美元关口，这受布林带下轨支撑。该点位失守后，依次留意下方低点20美元心理大关及前低19.27frontline.
　　
Suggestions for crude oil operation:
　　
　　1Suggest using25.3-25.5Consider short selling and stop losing near the US dollar0.5Points, target23.0-22.3Nearby;
　　
　　2Suggest using21.8-22.0Consider going long near the US dollar and stopping losses0.5Points, target23.0-25.5Around the US dollar.
　　
　　【投资有风险，入市需谨慎，做单建议带止损止盈，操作权由投资者本人自主决定，建议仅供参考，亏盈自
　　
　　黄金：日线V型反转；日线图中，国际金价逼近1700关口，几乎收复1703.39-1451.55这波下跌的全部跌幅。MACD金叉、KDJ金叉且指数位于80，表明看涨动能相对仍处强势。上周四黄金暴力拉涨逾40USD, highest hit1690一线，投资者大多维持看涨押注，先关注前高1703.39一线，这也是自2012year12月来触及的高位，是强劲阻力位。一旦该点位被攻破，将大幅打开上行空间，上方阻力位关注布林带上轨1730一线附近；若再度上破，上方阻力位进一步留意1762.38一线附近，这是1703.39-1451.55Downtrend1.236%拓展线。反之，若金价未能如愿上破1703高点，料削弱市场看涨情绪，金价短期将有回调风险。下方支撑位先关注1670一线，上周四行情的强势上攻，再一次打破了1670前期高点的阻力，并且给到了明确的回踩确认支撑，所以从技术面看，1670将成为接下来多头进一步上行的关键支撑点。若跌破则进一步关注1657一线的支撑性，这是上周三触及的高点。若再度跌破，下方支撑位关注1643.89一线附近，这是1703.39-1451.55Downtrend76.4%回撤位。一旦该点位失守，金价料回撤至上周一触及的低位1609.35一线附近，甚至是1600关口（整数关口及布林带中轨）。
　　
　　4小时震荡走高；四小时级别来看，金价不断逼近1700关口；布林带三轨均开口朝上，MACD呈金叉，且KDJ金叉，表明后续料仍以看涨动能为主。上行方面，先关注日内高点1693.20一线，这同时也是布林带上轨处，对价格上行有一定阻力；上破后重点关注1703.39一线，这是金价逾七年高位，有强劲阻力，上破后将大幅打开上行空间。下方支撑先留意1670一线，这是目前重要的支撑位。一旦下破将增加短线看跌情绪，进一步留意1660Frontline, this is affected by20均线支撑，有一定支撑性。若再度跌破，留意1645First line, this is3月份来多次测试的支撑阻力位，参考性较强。下方支撑位看向布林带下轨1618一线附近，若该点位失守，料进一步看向1600Gateway.
　　
Gold opened and fell1643就一路反弹上探1690Nearby, closing1684Nearby, Gold Radical1671Look more1690and1703Dislocation1728Nearby, steady1650Look more1666and1690Nearby, or1698Empty Look1690and1671Nearby, steady1728Empty Look1716and1700Nearby, please refer to the real-time location for specific orders
　　
Overall, pullback and long trading are the main focus, but attention should be paid to the top1700Resistance, attention from below1660附近建议可以关注卢金迎（公》种 number
　　
Suggestions for Gold Operations:
　　
　　1Suggest using1698-1700Consider short selling and stop loss nearby5US dollars, look at the target1690-1675Near USD;
　　
　　2Suggest using1670-1672Consider going long and stopping losses nearby5US dollars, look at the target1685-1711Near USD
　　
Trading requires practical experience and guidance from experts. Trading requires firm belief in one's own strategy, but it also requires maintaining resilience in reassessment. This is very complicated. On the one hand, you need to have firm courage, and on the other hand, you also need to have the intelligence to maintain an open mind. Facing the market, one should have confidence while maintaining a reverence. Sometimes it's very contradictory, the market is extremely fierce, and when your position fluctuates violently, without a strong heart, you cannot survive in the ever-changing investment market. For many beginner investors, finding an experienced mentor will determine their investment performance for a long time in the future! And Lu Jinying will be a friend you can always trust!